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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Hearts
U S T U S
4–2
Full-time
Livingston
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
56%
9%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
44%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–2

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 32 23 6 3 +51 75
2 Rangers 31 24 2 5 +50 74
3 Hearts 32 18 5 9 +10 59
4 Kilmarnock 32 12 12 8 +7 48
5 St Mirren 32 12 7 13 -2 43
6 Dundee 31 10 9 12 -10 39
7 Hibernian 32 9 11 12 -7 38
8 Motherwell 32 8 12 12 -5 36
9 Aberdeen 32 8 10 14 -14 34
10 ST Johnstone 32 7 10 15 -20 31
11 Ross County 32 6 9 17 -25 27
12 Livingston 32 3 9 20 -35 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Livingston
-5′
🟨 Tete Yengi
-5′
🟥 Tete Yengi
10′
S. Kelly 0–1
22′
S. Kelly 0–2
T. Yengi
1–2 J. Grant
L. Shankland
29′
31′
🟨 Tete Yengi
2–2 Y. Oda
L. Shankland
32′
3–2 C. Devlin
A. Cochrane
40′
Half-time 3–2
Alex Cochrane 🟨
46′
4–2 L. Shankland
51′
57′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ T. Yengi
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ B. McKay
60′
S. Kingsley 🔁
↦ A. Cochrane
60′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
66′
S. Fraser 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
67′
72′
🔁 M. Sangare
↦ J. Holt
K. Tagawa 🔁
↦ J. Grant
74′
78′
🔁 D. Carson
↦ J. Brandon
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
13 N. Atkinson D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
14 C. Devlin M
6 B. Baningime M
11 Y. Oda M
7 J. Grant M
18 B. McKay M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
77 K. Vargas
3 S. Kingsley
17 A. Forrest
29 S. Fraser
30 K. Tagawa
28 Z. Clark
81 D. Lembikisa
22 A. Denholm
25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Livingston

4-1-4-1
1 S. George G
21 M. Nottingham D
5 M. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
12 J. Brandon M
8 S. Pittman M
18 J. Holt M
10 S. Kelly M
11 D. Mackay M
33 T. Yengi F
Bench (5)
9 B. Anderson
20 M. Sangare
4 D. Carson
32 J. Hamilton
16 S. Bradley

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
4,83
B
8,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.