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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Aberdeen
S T U U T
1–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
67%
27%
Points per game
2,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 60%
73%
47%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 2. · ST Johnstone 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 13 1 0 +37 40
2 Aberdeen 15 10 3 2 +12 33
3 Rangers 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Dundee United 14 6 5 3 +7 23
5 Dundee 15 5 4 6 +0 19
6 Motherwell 14 6 1 7 -6 19
7 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
8 Ross County 15 3 6 6 -15 15
9 ST Johnstone 15 4 1 10 -11 13
10 Kilmarnock 15 3 4 8 -17 13
11 Hibernian 15 2 6 7 -7 12
12 Hearts 15 2 4 9 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
Slobodan Rubežić 🟨
3′
25′
M. Kirk 0–1
27′
🟨 Lewis Neilson
Half-time 0–1
N. Devlin 🔁
↦ J. McGarry
46′
Duk 🔁
↦ S. Morris
46′
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ S. Heltne Nilsen
46′
Jack Milne 🟨
47′
1–1 L. Clarkson
Duk
56′
Kevin Nisbet 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 A. Sidibeh
↦ M. Smith
T. Keskinen 🔁
↦ J. Milne
71′
76′
🟨 Sven Sprangler
77′
🟨 Nicky Clark
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
77′
Ante Palaversa 🟨
84′
88′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ M. Kirk
90′
🟨 Joshua Rae
Graeme Shinnie 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
31 R. Doohan G
22 J. Milne D
33 S. Rubežić D
21 G. Molloy D
15 J. McGarry D
4 G. Shinnie M
6 S. Heltne Nilsen M
20 S. Morris M
10 L. Clarkson M
7 J. McGrath M
9 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
2 N. Devlin
11 Duk
18 A. Palaversa
81 T. Keskinen
17 V. Besuijen
32 P. Ambrose
27 A. MacDonald
19 E. Sokler
25 T. Ritchie

Coach: J. Thelin

ST Johnstone

4-3-3
12 J. Rae G
6 L. Neilson D
5 J. Sanders D
4 K. Cameron D
14 D. Wright D
22 M. Smith M
23 S. Sprangler M
7 J. Holt M
27 M. Kirk F
10 N. Clark F
29 B. Kimpioka F
Bench (8)
16 A. Sidibeh
11 G. Carey
20 R. Sinclair
15 A. Essel
17 M. Kucheriavyi
33 D. Keltjens
46 F. Franczak
24 J. McPake

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
4,15
B
5,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.