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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Hearts
T T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Dundee
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
13%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
53%
73%
Both score Ø 74%
67%
80%
Average goals
2,7
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 12. · Dundee 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 13 1 0 +37 40
2 Aberdeen 15 10 3 2 +12 33
3 Rangers 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Dundee United 14 6 5 3 +7 23
5 Dundee 15 5 4 6 +0 19
6 Motherwell 14 6 1 7 -6 19
7 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
8 Ross County 15 3 6 6 -15 15
9 ST Johnstone 15 4 1 10 -11 13
10 Kilmarnock 15 3 4 8 -17 13
11 Hibernian 15 2 6 7 -7 12
12 Hearts 15 2 4 9 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -24 Dundee – Hearts 3–1 11. May -24 Hearts – Dundee 3–0 3. Feb -24 Dundee – Hearts 2–3 23. Jan -24 Hearts – Dundee 3–2 27. Aug -23 Dundee – Hearts 1–0

Match report

Hearts Dundee
1–0 L. Shankland ⚽
J. Penrice
21′
2–0 L. Shankland ⚽
31′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Murray
↦ O. Adewumi
46′
🔁 E. Ingram
↦ F. Robertson
61′
🔁 S. Tiffoney
↦ S. Palmer-Houlden
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
62′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ J. Wilson
67′
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
76′
J. Grant 🔁
↦ M. Drammeh
76′
84′
🟨 Josh Mulligan
84′
🔁 J. Vetro
↦ J. Mulligan
86′
🟨 Simon Murray
James Penrice 🟨
89′
91′
🟨 Ethan Ingram
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
5 D. Oyegoke D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
29 J. Penrice D
14 C. Devlin M
18 M. Boateng M
37 M. Drammeh M
9 L. Shankland M
16 B. Spittal M
21 J. Wilson F
Bench (9)
17 A. Forrest
77 K. Vargas
7 J. Grant
20 Y. Dhanda
11 Y. Oda
35 A. Forrester
25 M. Tait
28 Z. Clark
80 A. Salazar

Coach: N. Critchley

Dundee

3-4-2-1
1 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
29 A. Portales D
20 B. Koumetio D
8 J. Mulligan M
6 J. McGhee M
28 M. Sylla M
19 F. Robertson M
10 L. Cameron F
11 O. Adewumi F
23 S. Palmer-Houlden F
Bench (9)
15 S. Murray
2 E. Ingram
7 S. Tiffoney
47 J. Vetro
9 C. Main
22 S. Braybrooke
30 H. Sharp
16 S. Kelly
31 T. Carson

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
🔒
U
3,82
🔒
B
4,08
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,72
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,09
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.