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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hearts
U T T S S
1–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 4. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 11 2 0 +27 35
2 Rangers 12 9 0 3 +20 27
3 St Mirren 12 5 4 3 +0 19
4 Hearts 12 5 2 5 +0 17
5 Dundee 12 4 5 3 -1 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 4 5 +0 16
7 Hibernian 13 3 6 4 -2 15
8 Motherwell 13 3 3 7 -6 12
9 Aberdeen 11 3 3 5 -6 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 2 5 5 -10 11
11 Ross County 12 2 4 6 -10 10
12 Livingston 13 2 4 7 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Aug -23 ST Johnstone – Hearts 0–2 4. Mar -23 Hearts – ST Johnstone 3–0 28. Dec -22 ST Johnstone – Hearts 2–3 28. Aug -22 Hearts – ST Johnstone 3–2 19. Feb -22 ST Johnstone – Hearts 2–1

Match report

Hearts ST Johnstone
40′
🟨 Daniel Phillips
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Gallacher
↦ A. Considine
58′
🟨 Tony Gallacher
Y. Oda 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
59′
1–0 L. Shankland ⚽
L. Boyce
61′
C. Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
68′
Alex Cochrane 🟨
77′
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
81′
C. Devlin 🔁
↦ J. Grant
81′
83′
🔁 L. Jephcott
↦ C. Kane
86′
🔁 D. Jaiyesimi
↦ S. May
Kenneth Vargas 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
17 A. Forrest M
7 J. Grant M
6 B. Baningime M
51 A. Lowry M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (9)
11 Y. Oda
8 C. Nieuwenhof
77 K. Vargas
14 C. Devlin
5 P. Haring
30 K. Tagawa
22 A. Denholm
21 T. Sibbick
12 M. McGovern

Coach: S. Naismith

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 D. Mitov G
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
44 D. Costelloe M
34 D. Phillips M
15 M. Kucheriavyi M
19 L. Robinson M
22 M. Smith F
7 S. May F
9 C. Kane F
Bench (9)
3 T. Gallacher
16 L. Jephcott
13 D. Jaiyesimi
27 J. Turner-Cooke
25 C. Ballantyne
17 O. Olufunwa
31 D. Richards
23 S. Sprangler
46 F. Franczak

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
🔒
U
4,01
🔒
B
5,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,88
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,90
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.