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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Dundee United
T T S T U
2–4
Full-time
Dundee
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,0
3,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-2,7
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
24%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
41%
72%
Both score Ø 60%
48%
72%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 5. · Dundee 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 30 24 3 3 +69 75
2 Rangers 30 19 5 6 +34 62
3 Hibernian 30 11 11 8 +4 44
4 Aberdeen 30 12 7 11 -8 43
5 Dundee United 29 11 8 10 +0 41
6 Hearts 30 11 6 13 +3 39
7 Motherwell 30 11 5 14 -14 38
8 St Mirren 30 10 5 15 -12 35
9 Ross County 30 9 8 13 -20 35
10 Kilmarnock 30 8 8 14 -14 32
11 Dundee 29 7 7 15 -20 28
12 ST Johnstone 30 7 5 18 -22 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Dundee
12′
ℹ️ Lyall Cameron
VAR: Goal cancelled
C. Sibbald 🔁
↦ L. Stephenson
17′
17′
J. McGhee 0–1
Z. Larkeche
23′
S. Tiffoney 0–2
Z. Larkeche
1–2 G. Middleton
C. Sibbald
31′
Will Ferry 🟨
34′
39′
J. McGhee 1–3
O. Adewumi
Ross Graham ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Half-time 2–3
2–3 K. Trapanovski
S. Dalby
49′
L. Moult 🔁
↦ A. Campbell
63′
74′
🟨 Joe Shaughnessy
E. Adegboyega 🔁
↦ R. Graham
81′
K. Fotheringham 🔁
↦ D. Gallagher
81′
R. Paton 🔁
↦ K. Trapanovski
81′
Emmanuel Adegboyega 🟨
83′
J. van der Sande 🔁
↦ V. Ševelj
90′
91′
🔁 F. Robertson
↦ O. Adewumi
Ryan Strain 🟨
92′
Emmanuel Adegboyega 🟥
95′
97′
🟨 Simon Murray
97′
S. Murray 2–4
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-4-2
1 J. Walton G
2 R. Strain D
31 D. Gallagher D
6 R. Graham D
11 W. Ferry D
15 G. Middleton M
5 V. Ševelj M
17 L. Stephenson M
7 K. Trapanovski M
19 S. Dalby F
22 A. Campbell F
Bench (9)
14 C. Sibbald
9 L. Moult
16 E. Adegboyega
18 K. Fotheringham
21 R. Paton
20 J. van der Sande
10 D. Babunski
23 R. Docherty
25 D. Richards

Coach: J. Goodwin

Dundee

4-3-3
31 T. Carson G
6 J. McGhee D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
50 A. Donnelly D
21 Z. Larkeche D
8 J. Mulligan M
28 M. Sylla M
10 L. Cameron M
11 O. Adewumi F
15 S. Murray F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (9)
19 F. Robertson
4 R. Astley
30 H. Sharp
18 C. Reilly
1 J. McCracken
27 V. López
2 E. Ingram
12 I. Samuels
14 C. Garza

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U
3,70
B ✓
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.