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Serie B

Referee: P Tremolada

Sudtirol

T S U U S

2–2

Full-time

Carrarese

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 30%

31%

28%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

59%

41%

Both score Ø 48%

55%

41%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 12. · Carrarese 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	30	21	6	3	+35	69
2	Spezia	30	14	13	3	+23	55
3	Pisa	29	16	7	6	+17	55
4	Cremonese	30	13	9	8	+15	48
5	Catanzaro	29	9	16	4	+5	43
6	Juve Stabia	30	11	10	9	+0	43
7	Cesena	30	11	9	10	+2	42
8	Bari	30	8	16	6	+4	40
9	Palermo	30	10	9	11	+5	39
10	Modena	30	7	14	9	+0	35
11	Cittadella	30	9	7	14	-20	34
12	Sudtirol	29	9	6	14	-8	33
13	Frosinone	30	7	12	11	-14	33
14	Carrarese	29	8	8	13	-10	32
15	Reggiana	29	7	10	12	-6	31
16	Brescia	30	6	13	11	-7	31
17	Sampdoria	29	6	13	10	-7	31
18	Mantova	29	6	12	11	-10	30
19	Salernitana	30	7	9	14	-12	30
20	Cosenza	29	6	11	12	-12	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Pisa	14	10	3	1	+16	33
3	Spezia	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Cesena	15	7	6	2	+8	27
5	Juve Stabia	15	8	3	4	+5	27
6	Catanzaro	15	6	7	2	+8	25
7	Carrarese	15	7	4	4	+3	25
8	Bari	16	5	9	2	+4	24
9	Cremonese	15	6	5	4	+5	23
10	Modena	14	5	7	2	+6	22
11	Palermo	15	6	4	5	+4	22
12	Salernitana	15	6	4	5	+1	22
13	Mantova	14	5	5	4	-1	20
14	Frosinone	16	4	7	5	-6	19
15	Sampdoria	15	4	6	5	-1	18
16	Cosenza	15	4	6	5	-4	18
17	Brescia	15	3	8	4	+0	17
18	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-1	17
19	Sudtirol	14	4	4	6	-5	16
20	Cittadella	15	2	6	7	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	9	4	2	+12	31
2	Cremonese	15	7	4	4	+10	25
3	Spezia	16	5	9	2	+8	24
4	Pisa	15	6	4	5	+1	22
5	Cittadella	15	7	1	7	-10	22
6	Catanzaro	14	3	9	2	-3	18
7	Palermo	15	4	5	6	+1	17
8	Sudtirol	15	5	2	8	-3	17
9	Bari	14	3	7	4	+0	16
10	Juve Stabia	15	3	7	5	-5	16
11	Cesena	15	4	3	8	-6	15
12	Reggiana	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Brescia	15	3	5	7	-7	14
14	Frosinone	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	Sampdoria	14	2	7	5	-6	13
16	Modena	16	2	7	7	-6	13
17	Cosenza	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Mantova	15	1	7	7	-9	10
19	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	-13	8
20	Carrarese	14	1	4	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.