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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Leganes
T U T S T
2–3
Full-time
Betis
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
22%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
37%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,04 xG 2,69
35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 18. · Betis 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 +32 +24.1 60
2 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 +46 +33.1 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 +26 +19.7 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 +21 +16.7 49
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 +11 +18.0 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 +2 +8.1 41
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 -6 +1.7 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 +0 +9.2 39
9 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 +0 +2.0 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 -4 -7.1 36
11 Girona 28 9 7 12 -5 -2.0 34
12 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 -5 -0.4 34
13 Getafe 27 8 9 10 +1 -6.2 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 -5 -7.7 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 -13 -23.7 28
16 Valencia 28 6 10 12 -15 -8.0 28
17 Alaves 28 6 9 13 -10 -3.1 27
18 Leganes 27 6 9 12 -16 -21.9 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 -15 -26.3 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 -45 -26.1 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Betis
Yvan Neyou 🟨
26′
1–0 Dani Raba
29′
38′
🟨 Romain Perraud
2–0 Dani Raba
Juan Cruz
44′
Half-time 2–0
Miguel de la Fuente 🔁
↦ Dani Raba
60′
62′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Y. Sabaly
62′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ Pablo Fornals
62′
🔁 Jesús Rodríguez
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
64′
Isco 2–1
Valentin Rosier 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 Marc Bartra
↦ Diego Llorente
Óscar Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Y. Neyou
75′
78′
C. Bakambu 2–2
82′
C. Hernández 2–3
Isco
Duk 🔁
↦ Sergio González
85′
J. Chicco 🔁
↦ D. Brašanac
85′
M. El Haddadi 🔁
↦ S. Cissé
85′
85′
🔁 William Carvalho
↦ C. Hernández
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Leganes

4-5-1
13 M. Dmitrović G
12 V. Rosier D
6 Sergio González D
22 M. Nastasić D
20 Javi Hernández D
11 Juan Cruz M
17 Y. Neyou M
5 R. Tapia M
8 S. Cissé M
14 D. Brašanac M
10 Dani Raba F
Bench (10)
9 Miguel de la Fuente
7 Óscar Rodríguez
18 Duk
24 J. Chicco
23 M. El Haddadi
2 Adrià Alti
21 Roberto López
1 Juan Soriano
36 Alvin
3 Jorge Sáenz

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Adrián G
23 Y. Sabaly D
3 Diego Llorente D
6 Natan D
15 R. Perraud D
18 Pablo Fornals M
16 Sergi Altimira M
7 Antony M
22 Isco M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
19 C. Hernández F
Bench (11)
24 Aitor Ruibal
11 C. Bakambu
36 Jesús Rodríguez
5 Marc Bartra
14 William Carvalho
9 E. Ávila
25 Fran Vieites
30 Germán García
12 R. Rodríguez
46 Mateo Flores
2 Héctor Bellerín

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,77
U
3,33
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.