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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T U T U T

3–2

Full-time

St Truiden

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/23 matches

Win Ø 14%

11%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

21%

65%

Both score Ø 58%

42%

74%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,82 xG 0,74

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · St Truiden 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	20	15	3	2	+18	+18.4	48
2	Club Brugge	19	12	5	2	+24	+21.3	41
3	St. Gilloise	20	11	6	3	+18	+20.4	39
4	Anderlecht	19	11	5	3	+22	+8.3	38
5	Antwerp	19	10	8	1	+21	+1.5	38
6	Gent	19	8	8	3	+15	+1.0	32
7	Standard	20	7	5	8	-12	-7.2	26
8	Cercle Brugge	23	6	8	9	-13	-4.4	26
9	Dender	20	6	7	7	-5	-9.1	25
10	Charleroi	18	6	6	6	+1	+3.4	24
11	Mechelen	20	5	5	10	-5	-2.7	20
12	Westerlo	19	5	4	10	-3	-0.7	19
13	St Truiden	23	4	7	12	-21	-10.9	19
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	19	2	9	8	-8	-4.5	15
15	Beerschot VA	23	2	8	13	-24	-20.0	14
16	Kortrijk	23	4	2	17	-28	-14.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+15	+13.3	28
2	St. Gilloise	10	8	0	2	+13	+16.9	24
3	Club Brugge	9	6	2	1	+16	+14.3	20
4	Antwerp	9	6	2	1	+16	+5.3	20
5	Gent	9	6	2	1	+15	+4.0	20
6	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+11	+3.6	18
7	Standard	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.5	17
8	Cercle Brugge	12	4	5	3	-3	+2.0	17
9	Charleroi	10	4	3	3	+3	+4.0	15
10	St Truiden	12	3	6	3	-2	-1.0	15
11	Westerlo	10	4	2	4	+6	+10.2	14
12	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.1	13
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	2	6	1	+3	+3.1	12
14	Beerschot VA	11	2	6	3	-4	-7.6	12
15	Kortrijk	12	4	0	8	-7	-2.3	12
16	Dender	10	2	4	4	-1	-2.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+8	+7.0	21
2	Anderlecht	10	6	2	2	+11	+4.7	20
3	Genk	10	6	2	2	+3	+5.1	20
4	Antwerp	10	4	6	0	+5	-3.8	18
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
6	Dender	10	4	3	3	-4	-6.2	15
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Charleroi	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.7	9
9	Cercle Brugge	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.4	9
10	Standard	10	2	3	5	-13	-5.7	9
11	Mechelen	10	2	1	7	-9	-3.8	7
12	Westerlo	9	1	2	6	-9	-10.9	5
13	St Truiden	11	1	1	9	-19	-9.8	4
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-11	-7.6	3
15	Beerschot VA	12	0	2	10	-20	-12.4	2
16	Kortrijk	11	0	2	9	-21	-12.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.