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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Gent
U U T S S
1–2
Full-time
Kortrijk
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 19/23 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
42%
61%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,46 xG 1,78
56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gent 6. · Kortrijk 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 20 15 3 2 +18 +18.4 48
2 Club Brugge 19 12 5 2 +24 +21.3 41
3 St. Gilloise 20 11 6 3 +18 +20.4 39
4 Anderlecht 19 11 5 3 +22 +8.3 38
5 Antwerp 19 10 8 1 +21 +1.5 38
6 Gent 19 8 8 3 +15 +1.0 32
7 Standard 20 7 5 8 -12 -7.2 26
8 Cercle Brugge 23 6 8 9 -13 -4.4 26
9 Dender 20 6 7 7 -5 -9.1 25
10 Charleroi 18 6 6 6 +1 +3.4 24
11 Mechelen 20 5 5 10 -5 -2.7 20
12 Westerlo 19 5 4 10 -3 -0.7 19
13 St Truiden 23 4 7 12 -21 -10.9 19
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 2 9 8 -8 -4.5 15
15 Beerschot VA 23 2 8 13 -24 -20.0 14
16 Kortrijk 23 4 2 17 -28 -14.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Kortrijk
Half-time 0–1
50′
T. Ambrose 0–1
N. Mehssatou
58′
🟨 Abdoulaye Sissako
M. Sonko 🔁
↦ S. Kums
59′
63′
🔁 K. Kostons
↦ D. De Neve
64′
🔁 M. Ilaimaharitra
↦ B. Dejaegere
70′
M. Ilaimaharitra 0–2
K. Kostons
A. Omgba 🔁
↦ M. Delorge
71′
Hélio Varela 🔁
↦ B. Goore
72′
H. Gambor 🔁
↦ Tiago Araújo
72′
82′
🟨 Mark Mampasi
85′
🟨 Thierry Ambrose
89′
🔁 Nacho Ferri
↦ A. Kadri
89′
🔁 D. Karim
↦ T. Ambrose
90′
🟨 Lucas Pirard
N. Fadiga 🔁
↦ M. Samoise
90′
1–2 N. Fadiga
D. Vanzeir
93′
95′
🔁 G. Dewaele
↦ N. Mehssatou
Noah Fadiga 🟨
97′
97′
🟥 James Ndjeungoue
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-1-2
32 T. Vandenberghe G
18 M. Samoise D
23 J. Torunarigha D
2 S. Kotto D
20 Tiago Araújo D
15 A. Ito M
5 Leonardo Lopes M
16 M. Delorge M
24 S. Kums M
14 D. Vanzeir F
45 B. Goore F
Bench (9)
11 M. Sonko
10 A. Omgba
29 Hélio Varela
12 H. Gambor
22 N. Fadiga
19 F. Surdez
9 A. Guðjohnsen
30 C. De Schrevel
8 P. Gerkens

Coach: D. Miličević

Kortrijk

4-3-3
95 L. Pirard G
93 J. Duverne D
4 M. Mampassi D
33 R. Tsunoda D
5 J. Ndjeungoue D
16 B. Dejaegere M
27 A. Sissako M
6 N. Mehssatou M
11 D. De Neve F
10 A. Kadri F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (9)
18 K. Kostons
23 M. Ilaimaharitra
19 Nacho Ferri
8 D. Karim
20 G. Dewaele
32 Mouhamed Guèye II
13 E. De Vlaeminck
17 M. Bruno
9 K. Czubak

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U
3,82
B ✓
4,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.