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Europa League
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Celtic
U U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4,02 xG 0,46
66% Possession 34%
20 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 7
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Celtic Sturm Graz
J. Kenny 🔁
↦ K. Iheanacho
4′
15′
⚽ T. Horvat 0–1
F. Rozga
C. Donovan 🔁
↦ A. Johnston
26′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Mitchell
↦ T. Oermann
56′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
Cameron Carter-Vickers 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ M. Malone
59′
🔁 J. Hodl
↦ F. Rozga
1–1 L. Scales ⚽
C. Donovan
61′
2–1 B. Nygren ⚽
A. Engels
64′
70′
🟥 Tochi Chukwuani
M. Balikwisha 🔁
↦ S. Tounekti
78′
78′
🔁 L. Grgic
↦ O. Kiteishvili
82′
🔁 A. Kayombo
↦ T. Horvat
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
8 B. Nygren M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
27 A. Engels F
17 K. Iheanacho F
23 S. Tounekti F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sinisalo
6 A. Trusty
10 M. Balikwisha
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
14 L. McCowan
24 J. Kenny
28 P. Bernardo
36 M. Saracchi
47 D. Murray
49 J. Forrest
51 C. Donovan
56 A. Ralston

Coach: Brendan Rodgers

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bignetti G
5 T. Oermann D
47 E. Aiwu D
24 D. Lavalee D
17 E. Karic D
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
21 T. Chukwuani M
19 T. Horvat M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
8 F. Rozga
77 M. Malone F
Bench (11)
32 C. Wiener-Pucher
53 D. Khudyakov
2 J. Mitchell
11 A. Kayombo
20 S. Jatta
22 J. Beck
23 A. Malic
25 S. Hierlander
35 N. Geyrhofer
38 L. Grgic
43 J. Hodl

Coach: Jürgen Säumel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.