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Premiership

Referee: R Hardie

Kilmarnock

U U T S S

0–3

Full-time

Hearts

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 58%

29%

86%

Points per game

1,4

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 4. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	6	1	0	+10	+0.8	19
2	Celtic	7	5	2	0	+8	+2.5	17
3	Hibernian	8	2	5	1	+4	+1.1	11
4	Kilmarnock	7	2	4	1	+3	-0.1	10
5	Dundee United	8	2	4	2	+1	-1.0	10
6	Rangers	8	1	6	1	-1	-0.9	9
7	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.5	9
8	Falkirk	8	2	3	3	-4	-0.7	9
9	Motherwell	8	1	5	2	+0	+1.8	8
10	Aberdeen	8	2	1	5	-4	-0.6	7
11	Dundee	8	1	3	4	-7	-2.0	6
12	Livingston	9	1	3	5	-8	+0.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
3	Hibernian	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.3	6
4	Motherwell	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.0	5
5	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
6	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
7	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.7	4
8	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
9	Dundee	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
10	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
11	Falkirk	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.1	3
12	Rangers	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.9	9
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.1	6
4	Rangers	4	1	3	0	+1	-2.0	6
5	Falkirk	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.8	6
6	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
7	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
8	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
9	Motherwell	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.2	3
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	+0.1	3
11	Livingston	6	0	3	3	-8	-0.2	3
12	Dundee	4	0	2	2	-5	-1.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.