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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Hearts

S S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Celtic

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 66%

57%

75%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

36%

68%

Both score Ø 47%

36%

57%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,3

2,4

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hearts 3. · Celtic 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	29	23	1	5	+48	70
2	Celtic	28	21	5	2	+48	68
3	Hearts	28	16	4	8	+8	52
4	St Mirren	29	12	6	11	+2	42
5	Kilmarnock	29	10	11	8	+3	41
6	Hibernian	28	8	10	10	-7	34
7	Dundee	28	8	9	11	-11	33
8	Motherwell	29	7	11	11	-5	32
9	ST Johnstone	29	6	10	13	-18	28
10	Aberdeen	28	6	9	13	-15	27
11	Ross County	28	5	8	15	-24	23
12	Livingston	29	3	8	18	-29	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	12	0	3	+25	36
2	Celtic	14	10	3	1	+25	33
3	Kilmarnock	15	8	4	3	+8	28
4	St Mirren	15	8	3	4	+6	27
5	Hearts	14	7	4	3	+6	25
6	Dundee	13	5	4	4	-1	19
7	Hibernian	15	5	4	6	-2	19
8	ST Johnstone	15	4	6	5	-6	18
9	Motherwell	14	4	4	6	+0	16
10	Aberdeen	14	3	6	5	-4	15
11	Ross County	13	4	3	6	-4	15
12	Livingston	14	2	5	7	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	11	2	1	+23	35
2	Rangers	14	11	1	2	+23	34
3	Hearts	14	9	0	5	+2	27
4	Motherwell	15	3	7	5	-5	16
5	St Mirren	14	4	3	7	-4	15
6	Hibernian	13	3	6	4	-5	15
7	Dundee	15	3	5	7	-10	14
8	Kilmarnock	14	2	7	5	-5	13
9	Aberdeen	14	3	3	8	-11	12
10	ST Johnstone	14	2	4	8	-12	10
11	Ross County	15	1	5	9	-20	8
12	Livingston	15	1	3	11	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.