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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

Hibernian

U U S T T

1–2

Full-time

Celtic

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 52%

38%

65%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

53%

65%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,38 xG 2,78

19% Possession 81%

4 Shots 27

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 14

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 13

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Celtic 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	34	22	7	5	+31	+13.7	73
2	Celtic	34	22	4	8	+26	+21.4	70
3	Rangers	34	19	12	3	+34	+21.2	69
4	Motherwell	35	15	12	8	+23	+9.4	57
5	Hibernian	34	13	12	9	+13	+2.5	51
6	Falkirk	35	14	7	14	-4	+3.8	49
7	Dundee United	35	10	13	12	-9	-10.8	43
8	Aberdeen	35	10	7	18	-14	-15.0	37
9	Dundee	35	9	9	17	-21	-11.9	36
10	Kilmarnock	35	7	10	18	-26	-14.4	31
11	St Mirren	35	7	9	19	-24	-3.4	30
12	Livingston	35	2	14	19	-29	-16.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	17	13	4	0	+22	+7.8	43
2	Celtic	17	13	1	3	+24	+15.7	40
3	Rangers	18	11	5	2	+19	+16.1	38
4	Motherwell	17	10	5	2	+20	+12.1	35
5	Hibernian	17	8	6	3	+15	+7.8	30
6	Dundee United	18	7	6	5	+2	-3.0	27
7	Falkirk	18	7	5	6	+4	+6.2	26
8	Dundee	17	7	4	6	-1	-6.8	25
9	Aberdeen	17	6	5	6	+5	-5.2	23
10	Kilmarnock	18	6	4	8	-2	-0.5	22
11	St Mirren	17	5	5	7	-8	+1.8	20
12	Livingston	17	1	8	8	-9	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	16	8	7	1	+15	+5.1	31
2	Hearts	17	9	3	5	+9	+5.8	30
3	Celtic	17	9	3	5	+2	+5.7	30
4	Falkirk	17	7	2	8	-8	-2.4	23
5	Motherwell	18	5	7	6	+3	-2.7	22
6	Hibernian	17	5	6	6	-2	-5.3	21
7	Dundee United	17	3	7	7	-11	-7.8	16
8	Aberdeen	18	4	2	12	-19	-9.8	14
9	Dundee	18	2	5	11	-20	-5.1	11
10	St Mirren	18	2	4	12	-16	-5.1	10
11	Livingston	18	1	6	11	-20	-11.0	9
12	Kilmarnock	17	1	6	10	-24	-13.9	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.