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Premiership
Referee: R Lee
Celtic
S S T S S
3–1
Full-time
Falkirk
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Falkirk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 52%
64%
39%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,20 xG 0,81
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 3. · Falkirk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 33 21 7 5 +30 +12.3 70
2 Rangers 33 19 12 2 +35 +19.5 69
3 Celtic 33 21 4 8 +24 +21.0 67
4 Motherwell 33 14 12 7 +23 +11.9 54
5 Hibernian 33 13 12 8 +14 +3.8 51
6 Falkirk 33 13 7 13 -3 +3.4 46
7 Dundee United 33 9 13 11 -9 -11.9 40
8 Aberdeen 34 10 6 18 -14 -14.1 36
9 Dundee 33 8 9 16 -19 -10.5 33
10 St Mirren 34 7 9 18 -23 -3.4 30
11 Kilmarnock 34 6 10 18 -29 -14.5 28
12 Livingston 34 2 13 19 -29 -17.5 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Falkirk
1–0 D. Maeda
30′
2–0 K. Tierney
D. Maeda
44′
Half-time 2–0
S. Tounekti 🔁
↦ J. Forrest
62′
62′
🔁 E. Ross
↦ F. Yeats
62′
🔁 K. Wilson
↦ B. Broggio
Auston Trusty 🟨
64′
Anthony Ralston 🟨
70′
70′
K. Wilson 2–1
L. McCann
71′
🟨 Kyrell Wilson
K. Iheanacho 🔁
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
72′
M. Saracchi 🔁
↦ K. Tierney
72′
A. Johnston 🔁
↦ A. Ralston
72′
77′
🟨 Dylan Tait
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 🔁
↦ C. McGregor
78′
80′
🔁 B. Parkinson
↦ B. Stewart
3–1 D. Maeda
S. Tounekti
83′
89′
🟨 Leon McCann
90′
🔁 H. Cartwright
↦ D. Tait
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-2-3-1
12 V. Sinisalo G
56 A. Ralston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
42 C. McGregor M
27 A. Engels M
49 J. Forrest M
8 B. Nygren M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
31 R. Doohan
17 K. Iheanacho
23 S. Tounekti
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
36 M. Saracchi
41 R. Hatate
14 L. McCowan
2 A. Johnston
47 D. Murray

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Falkirk

4-2-3-1
1 N. Hogarth G
2 K. Adams D
15 L. Neilson D
20 C. Allan D
3 L. McCann D
21 D. Tait M
8 B. Spencer M
11 B. Broggio M
14 F. Yeats M
29 C. Miller M
16 B. Stewart F
Bench (9)
35 J. Hastings
9 R. MacIver
23 E. Ross
27 B. Parkinson
22 K. Wilson
7 B. Graham
6 C. Donaldson
42 S. Hart
17 H. Cartwright

Coach: John McGlynn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,76
B
6,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.