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Bundesliga

Referee: O Drachta

Salzburg

S S S S S

7–2

Full-time

Hartberg

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

5,2

3,8

Scored

4,5

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+3,8

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

5,2

3,8

Scored

4,5

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+3,8

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%

34 Shots 10

18 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

6 Corners 6

6 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Hartberg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	LASK	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	0	2	+8	12
4	Sturm Graz	6	4	0	2	+5	12
5	Hartberg	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	SK Rapid	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Mattersburg	6	2	0	4	-10	6
8	Austria Vienna	6	1	2	3	-3	5
9	Tirol	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	St. Polten	6	1	2	3	-10	5
11	Altach	6	1	1	4	-6	4
12	Admira	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Hartberg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	0	1	+7	6
4	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	LASK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Altach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Tirol	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	SK Rapid	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Austria Vienna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
11	St. Polten	3	0	1	2	-8	1
12	Admira	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	LASK	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Hartberg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	St. Polten	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
10	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-3	1
11	Admira	3	0	1	2	-8	1
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.