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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

St. Polten

T U U T S

1–3

Full-time

Hartberg

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

2,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,6

+0,6

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

2,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Polten 10. · Hartberg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	LASK	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	0	2	+8	12
4	Sturm Graz	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Hartberg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Mattersburg	6	2	0	4	-10	6
8	Austria Vienna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Tirol	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	St. Polten	5	1	2	2	-8	5
11	Altach	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Admira	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Hartberg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	0	1	+7	6
4	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	LASK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Tirol	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	SK Rapid	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-6	1
12	Admira	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	LASK	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	St. Polten	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
9	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-3	1
11	Admira	3	0	1	2	-8	1
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.