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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

St. Polten

S T S T U

2–8

Full-time

Salzburg

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

1,7

3,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

38%

75%

Points per game

1,4

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

63%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

38%

75%

Average goals

3,1

4,3

Scored

1,9

3,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 14

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Polten 5. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	6	1	1	+18	19
2	LASK	8	5	2	1	+10	17
3	SK Rapid	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	3	1	+6	12
5	St. Polten	8	3	2	3	+5	11
6	Tirol	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	0	4	-1	9
8	Austria Vienna	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Ried	8	3	0	5	-7	9
10	Hartberg	8	1	4	3	-9	7
11	Altach	8	1	2	5	-11	5
12	Admira	8	1	1	6	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+12	9
4	Ried	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Tirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Austria Vienna	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Hartberg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Altach	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	St. Polten	4	1	1	2	+2	4
11	Admira	3	1	0	2	-5	3
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	St. Polten	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Tirol	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	LASK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Hartberg	4	0	2	2	-8	2
10	Admira	5	0	1	4	-12	1
11	Ried	3	0	0	3	-7	0
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.