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Bundesliga

Referee: D Muckenhammer

Sturm Graz

U S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Tirol

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 41%

43%

38%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

29%

38%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

38%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 10

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · Tirol 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	6	1	1	+18	19
2	LASK	8	5	2	1	+10	17
3	SK Rapid	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	3	1	+6	12
5	St. Polten	8	3	2	3	+5	11
6	Tirol	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	0	4	-1	9
8	Austria Vienna	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Ried	8	3	0	5	-7	9
10	Hartberg	8	1	4	3	-9	7
11	Altach	8	1	2	5	-11	5
12	Admira	8	1	1	6	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+12	9
4	Ried	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Tirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Austria Vienna	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Hartberg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Altach	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	St. Polten	4	1	1	2	+2	4
11	Admira	3	1	0	2	-5	3
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	St. Polten	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Tirol	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	LASK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Hartberg	4	0	2	2	-8	2
10	Admira	5	0	1	4	-12	1
11	Ried	3	0	0	3	-7	0
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.