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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Altach
T S T T T
2–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altach Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
14%
57%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
43%
36%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 6
20 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altach 11. · Sturm Graz 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 10 1 3 +29 31
2 SK Rapid 14 9 3 2 +13 30
3 Sturm Graz 14 8 4 2 +15 28
4 LASK 14 8 3 3 +15 27
5 Tirol 14 7 2 5 +5 23
6 Wolfsberger AC 14 5 3 6 -5 18
7 Austria Vienna 14 4 5 5 -1 17
8 St. Polten 14 4 4 6 -1 16
9 Hartberg 14 3 6 5 -10 15
10 Ried 14 4 1 9 -15 13
11 Altach 14 2 2 10 -20 8
12 Admira 14 2 2 10 -25 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altach Sturm Graz
Manfred Fischer 🟨
17′
21′
A. Kuen 0–1
32′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
1–1 P. Netzer
M. Thurnwald
34′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Fischer
46′
53′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
S. Oum Gouet 🔁
↦ P. Netzer
62′
D. Maderner 🔁
↦ C. Obasi
62′
66′
🔁 J. Gazibegović
↦ S. Ingolitsch
66′
🔁 B. Balaj
↦ A. Dante
66′
🔁 I. Ljubic
↦ D. Nemeth
69′
🟨 Kevin Friesenbichler
74′
🟨 Ivan Ljubić
J. Zwischenbrugger 🔁
↦ S. Haudum
74′
76′
🔁 D. Shabanhaxhaj
↦ K. Friesenbichler
77′
🟨 Andreas Kuen
Aljaž Casar 🟨
87′
C. Bukta 🔁
↦ M. Meilinger
88′
88′
🔁 P. Huspek
↦ O. Kiteishvili
Emanuel Schreiner 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Altach

4-3-3
1 M. Kobras G
5 P. Netzer D
19 E. Karic D
34 M. Thurnwald D
24 D. Bumberger D
23 A. Casar M
16 E. Schreiner F
27 S. Haudum M
30 M. Fischer M
25 C. Obasi F
11 M. Meilinger F
Bench (7)
4 S. Oum Gouet
9 D. Maderner
18 J. Zwischenbrugger
33 C. Bukta
7 M. Stefel
28 Anderson
13 T. Casali

Coach: A. Pastoor

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 S. Ingolitsch D
6 D. Nemeth D
44 A. Dante D
13 J. Jantscher F
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 K. Friesenbichler F
Bench (7)
11 J. Gazibegović
9 B. Balaj
30 I. Ljubic
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj
18 P. Huspek
32 T. Schützenauer
17 L. Jäger

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.