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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
LASK
U T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
56%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
56%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 4. · Sturm Graz 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 17 13 1 3 +36 40
2 SK Rapid 17 11 4 2 +15 37
3 Sturm Graz 16 9 4 3 +15 31
4 LASK 16 9 3 4 +16 30
5 Tirol 16 7 3 6 +3 24
6 Wolfsberger AC 17 7 3 7 -3 24
7 Austria Vienna 17 4 6 7 -4 18
8 Hartberg 16 4 6 6 -12 18
9 St. Polten 17 4 5 8 -5 17
10 Ried 17 4 3 10 -16 15
11 Altach 17 3 3 11 -21 12
12 Admira 17 3 3 11 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -20 Sturm Graz – LASK 0–2 21. Jun -20 Sturm Graz – LASK 0–2 17. Jun -20 LASK – Sturm Graz 4–0 15. Dec -19 LASK – Sturm Graz 3–3 14. Sep -19 Sturm Graz – LASK 0–2

Match report

LASK Sturm Graz
1–0 J. Eggestein ⚽
R. Ranftl
45′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Niklas Geyrhofer
H. Balić 🔁
↦ T. Goiginger
62′
A. Andrade 🔁
↦ P. Filipović
62′
R. Renner 🔁
↦ M. Potzmann
71′
80′
🟨 Jusuf Gazibegovic
80′
🔁 A. Kuen
↦ I. Ljubic
81′
🔁 B. Balaj
↦ K. Yeboah
81′
🔁 D. Shabanhaxhaj
↦ A. Dante
Peter Michorl 🟨
82′
2–0 H. Balić ⚽
J. Eggestein
84′
87′
🔁 F. Mwepu
↦ O. Kiteishvili
P. Plojer 🔁
↦ A. Gruber
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

LASK

3-4-3
1 A. Schlager G
5 P. Filipović D
18 G. Trauner D
16 M. Potzmann M
26 R. Ranftl M
6 P. Wiesinger D
25 J. Holland M
10 P. Michorl M
27 T. Goiginger F
17 A. Gruber F
13 J. Eggestein F
Bench (7)
14 H. Balić
30 A. Andrade
7 R. Renner
20 P. Plojer
15 C. Ramsebner
19 V. Müller
36 T. Gebauer

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
11 J. Gazibegović D
6 D. Nemeth D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 K. Friesenbichler F
23 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
19 A. Kuen
9 B. Balaj
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj
29 F. Mwepu
17 L. Jäger
32 T. Schützenauer
24 S. Ingolitsch

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.