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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Sturm Graz

S S T T

2–0

Full-time

Tirol

S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

5 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 6. · Tirol 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+14	12
3	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	0	2	+7	9
4	Hartberg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Sturm Graz	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Tirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	St. Polten	5	1	2	2	-8	5
9	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Altach	5	1	1	3	-5	4
11	Mattersburg	5	1	0	4	-12	3
12	Admira	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	0	1	+7	6
2	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Hartberg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Tirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	LASK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	SK Rapid	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-6	1
12	Admira	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	St. Polten	3	1	1	1	-2	4
5	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Admira	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Altach	3	0	0	3	-6	0
12	Mattersburg	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.