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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Sturm Graz
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Wolfsberger AC
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
53%
41%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · Wolfsberger AC 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 17 13 1 3 +36 40
2 SK Rapid 17 11 4 2 +15 37
3 LASK 17 10 3 4 +18 33
4 Sturm Graz 17 9 4 4 +13 31
5 Tirol 17 7 3 7 +2 24
6 Wolfsberger AC 17 7 3 7 -3 24
7 Austria Vienna 18 5 6 7 +0 21
8 St. Polten 18 5 5 8 -4 20
9 Hartberg 17 4 7 6 -12 19
10 Ried 18 4 4 10 -16 16
11 Admira 17 3 3 11 -24 12
12 Altach 18 3 3 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Jan -21 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 0–0 24. Jun -20 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 2–0 3. Jun -20 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 1–2 2. Nov -19 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 0–4 4. Aug -19 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 0–1

Match report

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
15′
🔁 K. Stratznig
↦ S. Sprangler
28′
⚽ D. Baumgartner 0–1
D. Vizinger
Jörg Siebenhandl 🟥
35′
T. Schützenauer 🔁
↦ A. Dante
38′
42′
🟨 Kai Stratznig
1–1 I. Ljubic ⚽
J. Jantscher
43′
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Gustav Henriksson
55′
🔁 M. Liendl
↦ K. Stratznig
K. Yeboah 🔁
↦ B. Balaj
63′
L. Jäger 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
66′
71′
🔁 J. Scherzer
↦ G. Giorbelidze
71′
🔁 C. Dieng
↦ M. Pavelić
78′
🟨 Alexander Kofler
90′
⚽ D. Vizinger 1–2
M. Liendl
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
5 G. Wüthrich D
11 J. Gazibegović D
6 D. Nemeth D
44 A. Dante D
13 J. Jantscher F
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen M
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
9 B. Balaj F
Bench (7)
32 T. Schützenauer
23 K. Yeboah
17 L. Jäger
35 N. Geyrhofer
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj
24 S. Ingolitsch
26 C. Lang

Coach: C. Ilzer

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-1-2
31 A. Kofler G
27 M. Novak D
6 M. Pavelić M
22 D. Baumgartner D
2 G. Giorbelidze M
3 G. Henriksson D
18 T. Röcher F
19 S. Sprangler M
30 M. Taferner M
11 D. Vizinger F
9 D. Joveljić F
Bench (7)
17 K. Stratznig
10 M. Liendl
4 J. Scherzer
8 C. Dieng
15 N. Rnić
24 C. Wernitznig
29 M. Kuttin

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.