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Bundesliga
Referee: I Simsek
Altach
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Salzburg
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altach Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
15%
45%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altach 12. · Salzburg 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 20 12 4 4 +20 40
2 Austria Vienna 20 12 4 4 +13 40
3 Wolfsberger AC 20 11 3 6 +16 36
4 Salzburg 20 9 7 4 +10 34
5 SK Rapid 20 8 7 5 +6 31
6 LASK 20 8 4 8 +0 28
7 BW Linz 20 8 3 9 -3 27
8 Hartberg 20 5 8 7 -5 23
9 A. Klagenfurt 20 5 5 10 -20 20
10 Tirol 20 4 7 9 -8 19
11 Grazer AK 20 3 7 10 -14 16
12 Altach 20 3 5 12 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Oct -24 Salzburg – Altach 2–1 28. Oct -23 Salzburg – Altach 3–0 29. Jul -23 Altach – Salzburg 0–2 19. Mar -23 Salzburg – Altach 1–1 8. Oct -22 Altach – Salzburg 2–3

Match report

Altach Salzburg
11′
⚽ Y. Vertessen 0–1
A. Daghim
Djawal Kaiba 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
F. Dietz 🔁
↦ M. Mustapha
46′
Leonardo Lukačević 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 M. Yeo
↦ A. Daghim
65′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ D. Nene
Sandro Ingolitsch 🟨
67′
L. Fridrikas 🔁
↦ O. Diawara
68′
A. Gorgon 🔁
↦ D. Kaïba
68′
L. Jäger 🔁
↦ D. Kameri
68′
78′
🟨 Alexander Schlager
Mike-Steven Bähre ❌
penalty missed
80′
1–1 F. Dietz ⚽
80′
81′
🔁 E. Baidoo
↦ N. Capaldo
S. Noode 🔁
↦ L. Lukačević
89′
Lukas Fridrikas 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Mads Bidstrup
Sandro Ingolitsch 🟨
96′
Sandro Ingolitsch 🟥
96′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Altach

4-3-1-2
1 D. Stojanovic G
25 S. Ingolitsch D
3 B. Zech D
22 P. Estrada D
12 L. Lukačević D
6 V. Demaku M
13 D. Kaïba M
8 M. Bähre M
37 D. Kameri M
10 O. Diawara F
11 M. Mustapha F
Bench (7)
9 F. Dietz
14 L. Fridrikas
20 A. Gorgon
23 L. Jäger
2 S. Noode
21 A. Helac
26 E. Yalcin

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
7 N. Capaldo D
23 J. Gadou D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
45 D. Nene M
18 M. Bidstrup M
30 O. Gloukh M
11 Y. Vertessen M
28 A. Daghim F
9 K. Onisiwo F
Bench (7)
49 M. Yeo
15 M. Diambou
20 E. Baidoo
37 T. Trummer
2 M. Caufriez
39 L. Morgalla
1 J. Blaswich

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Simsek · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.