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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Boavista
T T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Guimaraes
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
13%
33%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
46%
42%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,43 xG 1,95
34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 18. · Guimaraes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 25 18 5 2 +45 +37.5 59
2 Benfica 24 18 2 4 +38 +33.4 56
3 Porto 25 15 5 5 +29 +23.8 50
4 Sp Braga 25 15 5 5 +19 +14.2 50
5 Santa Clara 25 12 4 9 +1 +7.9 40
6 Casa Pia 25 10 6 9 -1 -7.5 36
7 Guimaraes 24 8 11 5 +6 +9.2 35
8 Estoril 25 9 8 8 -7 -16.1 35
9 Famalicao 24 7 10 7 +1 -5.5 31
10 Rio Ave 24 7 8 9 -12 -14.3 29
11 Moreirense 25 7 7 11 -7 -1.2 28
12 Arouca 25 7 7 11 -14 -7.5 28
13 Nacional 25 7 5 13 -12 -6.8 26
14 Gil Vicente 24 5 8 11 -12 -9.0 23
15 Estrela 25 5 8 12 -15 -12.5 23
16 AVS 25 4 11 10 -15 -12.4 23
17 Farense 25 3 8 14 -19 -17.9 17
18 Boavista 24 3 6 15 -25 -15.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Guimaraes
26′
🟨 Samu
Half-time 0–0
Salvador Agra 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Hevertton Santos
↦ João Teixeira Mendes
1–0 M. van Ginkel
47′
50′
I. Vukotić 2–0
own goal
O. Kakay 🔁
↦ I. Vukotić
57′
63′
🔁 Nélson Oliveira
↦ D. Michel
63′
🔁 Úmaro Embaló
↦ Telmo Arcanjo
Osman Kakay 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 Tiago Silva
↦ Tomás Händel
Miguel Reisinho 🔁
↦ I. Camará
71′
76′
Tiago Silva 2–1
R. Boženík 🔁
↦ V. Lystsov
82′
87′
🔁 Beni
↦ João Mendes
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Boavista

3-4-3
31 T. Vaclík G
5 V. Lystsov D
19 S. Vitória D
26 R. Abascal D
7 Salvador Agra M
2 I. Camará M
18 I. Vukotić M
13 S. Fogning M
8 M. van Ginkel F
21 A. Diaby F
11 G. Ariyibi F
Bench (9)
27 O. Kakay
10 Miguel Reisinho
9 R. Boženík
24 S. Pérez
1 César
14 M. Koné
71 João Barros
16 Joel Silva
73 Alexandre Marques

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
14 Bruno Varela G
2 Miguel Maga D
24 T. Borevković D
4 Filipe Relvas D
13 João Teixeira Mendes D
20 Samu M
8 Tomás Händel M
18 Telmo Arcanjo M
17 João Mendes M
21 Vando Félix M
86 D. Michel F
Bench (9)
22 Hevertton Santos
7 Nélson Oliveira
11 Úmaro Embaló
10 Tiago Silva
16 Beni
5 Marco Cruz
15 Óscar Rivas
27 Charles
3 M. Villanueva

Coach: Luís Freire

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,52
U
3,67
B ✓
1,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.