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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Salzburg

T T U U S

3–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 53%

42%

63%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

47%

74%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

27 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 5

10 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 4. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	19	12	4	3	+22	40
2	Austria Vienna	20	12	4	4	+13	40
3	Wolfsberger AC	20	11	3	6	+16	36
4	Salzburg	19	8	7	4	+8	31
5	SK Rapid	20	8	7	5	+6	31
6	LASK	20	8	4	8	+0	28
7	BW Linz	20	8	3	9	-3	27
8	Hartberg	20	5	8	7	-5	23
9	A. Klagenfurt	20	5	5	10	-20	20
10	Tirol	20	4	7	9	-8	19
11	Grazer AK	20	3	7	10	-14	16
12	Altach	20	3	5	12	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Austria Vienna	10	8	1	1	+12	25
2	Sturm Graz	10	7	2	1	+18	23
3	SK Rapid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
4	Salzburg	9	5	3	1	+13	18
5	BW Linz	10	6	0	4	+4	18
6	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Hartberg	10	3	4	3	-1	13
8	A. Klagenfurt	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	LASK	10	3	2	5	-2	11
10	Tirol	10	1	6	3	-4	9
11	Altach	10	1	4	5	-3	7
12	Grazer AK	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	10	6	1	3	+9	19
2	Sturm Graz	9	5	2	2	+4	17
3	LASK	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Austria Vienna	10	4	3	3	+1	15
5	Salzburg	10	3	4	3	-5	13
6	Tirol	10	3	1	6	-4	10
7	Hartberg	10	2	4	4	-4	10
8	SK Rapid	10	1	6	3	-4	9
9	BW Linz	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Grazer AK	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	A. Klagenfurt	10	2	2	6	-18	8
12	Altach	10	2	1	7	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.