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Serie B
Referee: M Perri
Cittadella
T S T T S
1–5
Full-time
Sudtirol
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 31%
32%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
39%
57%
Both score Ø 45%
36%
54%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 9
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 11. · Sudtirol 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 29 20 6 3 +34 66
2 Pisa 29 16 7 6 +17 55
3 Spezia 29 14 12 3 +23 54
4 Cremonese 29 12 9 8 +14 45
5 Catanzaro 29 9 16 4 +5 43
6 Cesena 29 11 8 10 +2 41
7 Juve Stabia 29 10 10 9 -1 40
8 Palermo 29 10 9 10 +6 39
9 Bari 29 8 15 6 +4 39
10 Modena 29 7 14 8 +1 35
11 Cittadella 28 9 7 12 -15 34
12 Carrarese 29 8 8 13 -10 32
13 Brescia 29 6 13 10 -6 31
14 Reggiana 29 7 10 12 -6 31
15 Sampdoria 29 6 13 10 -7 31
16 Mantova 29 6 12 11 -10 30
17 Sudtirol 28 8 6 14 -12 30
18 Frosinone 29 6 12 11 -15 30
19 Salernitana 29 7 8 14 -12 29
20 Cosenza 29 6 11 12 -12 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Sudtirol
Nicola Pavan 🟨
11′
Half-time 0–1
58′
A. Barreca 0–1
59′
E. Matino 1–1
own goal
S. Rabbi 🔁
↦ F. Casolari
60′
61′
D. Casiraghi 1–2
S. Molina
63′
🟨 Daniele Casiraghi
Riccardo Palmieri 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 A. Giorgini
↦ A. Masiello
66′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ D. Casiraghi
71′
A. Giorgini 1–3
72′
🔁 G. Gori
↦ R. Odogwu
72′
🔁 N. Pyyhtiä
↦ L. Belardinelli
J. Desogus 🔁
↦ O. Okwonkwo
73′
A. Tessiore 🔁
↦ A. Vita
73′
76′
A. Giorgini 1–4
N. Pyyhtiä
79′
🔁 F. Davi
↦ A. Barreca
84′
🟨 Niklas Pyyhtiä
A. Rizza 🔁
↦ E. Masciangelo
85′
2–4 J. Desogus
S. Rabbi
92′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-2
36 E. Kastrati G
6 E. Matino D
26 N. Pavan D
24 L. Carissoni D
19 F. D'Alessio M
16 A. Vita M
8 F. Amatucci M
37 R. Palmieri M
32 E. Masciangelo M
31 O. Okwonkwo F
5 F. Casolari F
Bench (11)
21 S. Rabbi
11 J. Desogus
18 A. Tessiore
28 A. Rizza
74 A. Sanogo
17 S. Tronchin
35 S. Piccinini
45 M. Cardinali
78 L. Maniero
25 N. Scarpa
20 D. Voltan

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
28 R. Kofler D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
79 S. Molina M
20 L. Belardinelli M
99 M. Praszelik M
17 D. Casiraghi M
3 A. Barreca M
33 S. Merkaj F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
30 A. Giorgini
21 F. Tait
9 G. Gori
18 N. Pyyhtiä
14 F. Davi
7 M. Rover
2 H. El Kaouakibi
6 J. Martini
1 G. Poluzzi
8 A. Mallamo
24 S. Davì
23 L. Ceppitelli

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
2,88
B ✓
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,50
U2,5
1,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perri · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.