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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Grazer AK

T S U T T

1–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

15%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

65%

75%

Both score Ø 68%

75%

60%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 8

6 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grazer AK 11. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	20	12	4	4	+20	40
2	Austria Vienna	20	12	4	4	+13	40
3	Wolfsberger AC	20	11	3	6	+16	36
4	Salzburg	20	9	7	4	+10	34
5	SK Rapid	20	8	7	5	+6	31
6	LASK	20	8	4	8	+0	28
7	BW Linz	20	8	3	9	-3	27
8	Hartberg	20	5	8	7	-5	23
9	A. Klagenfurt	20	5	5	10	-20	20
10	Tirol	20	4	7	9	-8	19
11	Grazer AK	20	3	7	10	-14	16
12	Altach	20	3	5	12	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Austria Vienna	10	8	1	1	+12	25
2	Sturm Graz	10	7	2	1	+18	23
3	SK Rapid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
4	Salzburg	10	6	3	1	+15	21
5	BW Linz	10	6	0	4	+4	18
6	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Hartberg	10	3	4	3	-1	13
8	A. Klagenfurt	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	LASK	10	3	2	5	-2	11
10	Tirol	10	1	6	3	-4	9
11	Altach	10	1	4	5	-3	7
12	Grazer AK	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	10	6	1	3	+9	19
2	Sturm Graz	10	5	2	3	+2	17
3	LASK	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Austria Vienna	10	4	3	3	+1	15
5	Salzburg	10	3	4	3	-5	13
6	Tirol	10	3	1	6	-4	10
7	Hartberg	10	2	4	4	-4	10
8	SK Rapid	10	1	6	3	-4	9
9	BW Linz	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Grazer AK	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	A. Klagenfurt	10	2	2	6	-18	8
12	Altach	10	2	1	7	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.