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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
Hartberg
S U U U T
2–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 8. · SK Rapid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 20 12 4 4 +20 40
2 Austria Vienna 20 12 4 4 +13 40
3 Wolfsberger AC 20 11 3 6 +16 36
4 Salzburg 20 9 7 4 +10 34
5 SK Rapid 20 8 7 5 +6 31
6 LASK 20 8 4 8 +0 28
7 BW Linz 20 8 3 9 -3 27
8 Hartberg 20 5 8 7 -5 23
9 A. Klagenfurt 20 5 5 10 -20 20
10 Tirol 20 4 7 9 -8 19
11 Grazer AK 20 3 7 10 -14 16
12 Altach 20 3 5 12 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.