← Match Finder
Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Basel
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Lugano
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Basel Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
4,0
2,4
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
4,0
2,4
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 21
11 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 2. · Lugano 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Basel 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Sion 5 3 1 1 +1 10
4 Servette 6 2 3 1 +3 9
5 St. Gallen 6 2 1 3 -2 7
6 Thun 5 1 2 2 -3 5
7 Zurich 6 1 2 3 -9 5
8 Lugano 5 1 1 3 +0 4
9 Luzern 5 1 1 3 -2 4
10 Xamax 6 0 4 2 -4 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Lugano
3′
🟨 Mijat Maric
18′
🟨 Filip Holender
Kevin Bua 🟨
21′
1–0 K. Ademi
K. Bua
27′
33′
🟨 Numa Lavanchy
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Ademi
48′
N. Okafor 🔁
↦ K. Bua
62′
62′
🔁 M. Bottani
↦ S. Lovric
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ L. Zuffi
75′
77′
🔁 N. Dalmonte
↦ N. Lavanchy
77′
🔁 F. Rodriguez
↦ B. Vécsei
Z. Kuzmanović 🔁
↦ F. Frei
82′
Zdravko Kuzmanović 🟨
83′
85′
🟨 Francisco Jose Rodriguez
86′
N. Dalmonte 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
5 S. Widmer D
6 O. Alderete D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
14 V. Stocker M
7 L. Zuffi M
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
33 K. Bua M
99 K. Ademi F
Bench (7)
11 N. Okafor
30 E. Zhegrova
8 Z. Kuzmanović
10 S. Campo
19 A. Pululu
15 B. Riveros
13 Đ. Nikolić

Coach: M. Koller

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 A. Kecskés D
70 M. Aratore M
14 J. Sabbatini M
17 B. Vécsei M
24 S. Lovric M
9 F. Holender F
11 Carlinhos F
Bench (7)
10 M. Bottani
23 N. Dalmonte
68 F. Rodriguez
21 L. Obexer
28 F. Sulmoni
18 E. Yao
13 A. Muci

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.