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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Lugano
S T S S U
1–3
Full-time
Sion
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
61%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Sion 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 29 19 6 4 +26 63
2 Basel 28 13 12 3 +27 51
3 Young Boys 29 12 11 6 +24 47
4 Lugano 28 14 4 10 +2 46
5 Servette 29 12 5 12 -7 41
6 St. Gallen 28 11 7 10 +2 40
7 Sion 28 8 6 14 -18 30
8 Grasshoppers 29 6 11 12 -4 29
9 Luzern 29 4 12 13 -20 24
10 Lausanne 29 3 8 18 -32 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -22 Sion – Lugano 0–3 5. Dec -21 Lugano – Sion 2–0 28. Aug -21 Sion – Lugano 3–2 15. May -21 Lugano – Sion 3–1 4. Mar -21 Sion – Lugano 0–3

Match report

Lugano Sion
42′
⚽ Baltazar 0–1
K. Bua
44′
⚽ D. Cavaré 0–2
Half-time 0–2
I. Aliseda 🔁
↦ K. Rüegg
46′
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
46′
Reto Ziegler 🟨
57′
Sandi Lovrić 🟨
59′
66′
🟨 Anto Grgić
70′
🟨 Kevin Bua
1–2 S. Lovrić ⚽
M. Haile-Selassie
72′
77′
🔁 G. Karlen
↦ L. Zuffi
77′
🔁 M. Tosetti
↦ K. Bua
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ F. Daprelà
78′
78′
🔁 M. Araz
↦ Wesley
84′
⚽ G. Karlen 1–3
A. Grgić
A. Durrer 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
88′
N. Muci 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
88′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-2-1
58 S. Osigwe G
3 R. Ziegler D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
17 M. Valenzuela M
14 J. Sabbatini F
20 O. Custodio D
27 K. Rüegg M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
31 I. Aliseda
18 M. Haile-Selassie
6 M. Amoura
8 A. Durrer
99 N. Muci
21 Yuri
4 K. Hajrizi
29 H. Mahmoud
26 A. Saipi

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Sion

3-5-2
18 K. Fickentscher G
32 L. Benito D
97 D. Cavaré M
34 B. Ndoye
5 J. Bamert D
52 Wesley F
7 L. Zuffi M
14 A. Grgić M
33 K. Bua F
70 Marquinhos Cipriano M
8 Baltazar M
Bench (9)
11 G. Karlen
23 M. Tosetti
20 M. Araz
39 N. Saintini
25 T. Berdayes
4 A. Kabashi
10 Adryan
1 T. Fayulu
28 G. Berardi

Coach: P. Tramezzani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.