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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Lugano
T S S T S
3–1
Full-time
Lausanne
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
50%
8%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
62%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Lausanne 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 27 19 5 3 +27 62
2 Basel 26 12 11 3 +25 47
3 Young Boys 27 12 9 6 +24 45
4 Lugano 26 13 3 10 +0 42
5 Servette 27 11 5 11 -5 38
6 St. Gallen 27 10 7 10 -1 37
7 Sion 27 8 6 13 -15 30
8 Grasshoppers 26 6 9 11 -2 27
9 Luzern 27 4 10 13 -20 22
10 Lausanne 26 2 7 17 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Lausanne
1–0 M. Bottani
23′
Mijat Marić 🟨
24′
30′
🟨 Maxime Poundjé
Sandi Lovrić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Pollero
↦ T. Suzuki
46′
🔁 S. Alakouch
↦ M. Poundjé
2–0 N. Lavanchy
K. Rüegg
47′
Kevin Rüegg 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 M. Spielmann
↦ A. Sanches
O. Custodio 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
67′
I. Aliseda 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
67′
71′
Z. Amdouni 2–1
S. Alakouch
3–1 I. Aliseda
M. Valenzuela
75′
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
78′
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ M. Valenzuela
78′
K. Hajrizi 🔁
↦ K. Rüegg
86′
92′
🔁 K. Sow
↦ A. Trébel
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-5-1-1
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
17 M. Valenzuela M
14 J. Sabbatini M
27 K. Rüegg M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
20 O. Custodio
31 I. Aliseda
18 M. Haile-Selassie
7 M. Facchinetti
4 K. Hajrizi
29 H. Mahmoud
58 S. Osigwe
6 M. Amoura
8 A. Durrer

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Lausanne

3-1-4-2
40 M. Diaw G
29 M. Poundjé M
6 Elton Monteiro D
20 H. Mahou M
28 T. Suzuki M
24 A. Zohouri D
51 A. Husic D
7 S. Kukuruzović M
30 A. Trébel M
80 A. Sanches F
9 Z. Amdouni F
Bench (9)
90 R. Pollero
23 S. Alakouch
33 M. Spielmann
71 K. Sow
13 N. Zoukit
3 A. Brown
98 T. Coyle
26 F. Chafik
1 T. Castella

Coach: A. Casanova

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.