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Super League
Referee: Sandro Schärer
Luzern
U U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Servette
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
77%
77%
Both score Ø 73%
77%
69%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 10
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 7. · Servette 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 13 10 1 2 +12 -2.9 31
2 Basel 13 7 1 5 +6 +8.6 22
3 Young Boys 13 6 4 3 +2 -3.0 22
4 St. Gallen 12 7 0 5 +9 +3.2 21
5 Sion 13 5 4 4 +3 +5.3 19
6 Lugano 12 6 1 5 +0 +1.6 19
7 Luzern 13 4 5 4 +4 -0.3 17
8 Lausanne 13 4 4 5 +4 +4.0 16
9 Zurich 13 5 1 7 -6 +3.4 16
10 Servette 13 4 2 7 -5 +0.4 14
11 Grasshoppers 13 3 4 6 -9 -10.5 13
12 Winterthur 13 1 3 9 -20 -9.8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Servette
1–0 J. Von Moos
O. Kabwit
2′
2–0 M. Di Giusto
A. Grbic
9′
14′
🟨 Lamine Fomba
15′
🔁 M. Ishuayed Sanchez
↦ A. Antunes
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Y. Severin
↦ T. Magnin
46′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ L. Fomba
57′
T. Cognat 2–1
D. Douline
K. Spadanuda 🔁
↦ J. Von Moos
65′
L. Winkler 🔁
↦ L. M. Silva Ferreira
65′
Severin Ottiger 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Timothé Cognat
72′
F. Aye 2–2
M. Ishuayed Sanchez
A. Vasovic 🔁
↦ O. Kabwit
78′
L. Villiger 🔁
↦ A. Grbic
78′
83′
🔁 G. Morandi
89′
🟨 Florian Ayé
94′
🔁 S. Mraz
↦ F. Aye
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Luzern

4-4-2
1 P. Loretz G
2 S. Ottiger D
5 S. Knezevic D
4 A. Bajrami D
46 B. Freimann D
16 O. Kabwit
24 T. Owusu M
73 L. M. Silva Ferreira M
11 M. Di Giusto M
9 A. Grbic F
81 J. Von Moos F
Bench (9)
7 K. Spadanuda
10 S. Karweina
19 A. Vasovic
22 R. Dantas
27 L. Villiger
29 L. Winkler
31 J. Matuanana
34 D. Xhemalija
90 V. Vasic

Coach: Mario Frick

Servette

4-1-4-1
32 J. Frick G
20 T. Magnin D
4 S. Rouiller D
25 D. Bronn D
14 L. Njoh D
28 D. Douline M
9 M. Stevanovic M
11 L. Fomba M
8 T. Cognat M
10 A. Antunes M
97 F. Aye F
Bench (9)
1 J. Mall
34 T. Allix
6 A. Baron
19 Y. Severin
36 T. Lopes
7 G. Morandi
21 J. Guillemenot
38 M. Ishuayed Sanchez
90 S. Mraz

Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.