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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Luzern
U T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Lausanne
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
41%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
65%
56%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,98 xG 1,74
58% Possession 42%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 5. · Lausanne 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 35 20 7 8 +47 +22.4 67
2 Servette 34 15 10 9 +5 -1.0 55
3 Young Boys 34 15 8 11 +6 +8.6 53
4 Lugano 35 15 7 13 +0 +7.9 52
5 Luzern 34 14 9 11 +8 +9.3 51
6 Lausanne 34 14 8 12 +9 +10.3 50
7 Zurich 35 14 8 13 -2 -1.2 50
8 St. Gallen 35 12 12 11 +0 -4.7 48
9 Sion 35 10 10 15 -9 -0.1 40
10 Winterthur 35 10 6 19 -24 -23.1 36
11 Yverdon 35 8 11 16 -24 -15.8 35
12 Grasshoppers 35 7 12 16 -16 -12.6 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Lausanne
18′
🟨 Teddy Okou
Pius Dorn 🟨
21′
34′
🟨 Raoul Giger
34′
ℹ️ Mamadou Kaly Sene
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–0
Ismajl Beka 🟨
46′
59′
K. Sène 0–1
T. Okou
69′
🟨 Jamie Roche
A. Grbic 🔁
↦ L. Villiger
70′
S. Ottiger 🔁
↦ T. Owusu
70′
A. Cigaņiks 🔁
↦ R. Fernandes
70′
75′
🔁 F. Oviedo
↦ K. Sène
75′
🔁 A. Baldé
↦ F. Diabaté
1–1 A. Grbic
D. Rrudhani
81′
S. Karweina 🔁
↦ K. Spadanuda
84′
84′
🔁 B. Lekoueiry
↦ O. Custodio
89′
🔁 K. de la Fuente
↦ T. Okou
95′
🟨 Karlo Letica
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-4-2
1 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
5 S. Knezevic D
30 I. Beka D
22 R. Fernandes D
7 K. Spadanuda M
8 A. Stanković M
11 D. Rrudhani M
24 T. Owusu M
27 L. Villiger F
17 T. Klidje F
Bench (8)
9 A. Grbic
2 S. Ottiger
14 A. Cigaņiks
10 S. Karweina
29 L. Winkler
16 J. Kadák
90 V. Vasić
13 B. Freimann

Coach: M. Frick

Lausanne

4-3-3
25 K. Letica G
34 R. Giger D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
18 M. Poaty D
5 K. Koindredi M
8 J. Roche M
10 O. Custodio M
92 T. Okou F
9 K. Sène F
11 F. Diabaté F
Bench (8)
39 F. Oviedo
70 A. Baldé
27 B. Lekoueiry
23 K. de la Fuente
7 A. Ajdini
43 M. Polster
47 S. NDiaye
1 T. Castella

Coach: L. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.