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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Lugano
S U U U U
2–1
Full-time
Lausanne
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
48%
28%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
48%
68%
Both score Ø 68%
64%
72%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,71 xG 0,94
57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 3. · Lausanne 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 25 19 1 5 +29 +3.2 58
2 St. Gallen 26 14 5 7 +19 +6.9 47
3 Lugano 25 12 7 6 +11 -2.0 43
4 Sion 26 10 10 6 +9 +6.2 40
5 Basel 25 11 7 7 +7 +14.0 40
6 Young Boys 26 10 6 10 +0 -3.6 36
7 Zurich 26 9 4 13 -11 -0.8 31
8 Luzern 25 7 9 9 +1 -2.6 30
9 Lausanne 25 7 9 9 -2 +4.8 30
10 Servette 26 6 10 10 -7 +3.3 28
11 Grasshoppers 26 4 9 13 -13 -13.6 21
12 Winterthur 25 3 5 17 -43 -15.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Lausanne
1–0 R. Steffen
A. Grgic
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Custodio
↦ J. Roche
Lars Lukas Mai 🟨
49′
56′
ℹ️ Seydou Traore
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–0 D. Dos Santos
R. Steffen
61′
Daniel Dos Santos Correia 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 O. Janneh
↦ S. Traore
64′
🔁 S. Kone
↦ T. Bergvall
64′
🔁 E. Kana-Biyik
↦ B. Lekoueiry
M. Belhadj 🔁
↦ D. Dos Santos
71′
Joao Carbone 🔁
↦ L. Mai
71′
74′
ℹ️ Enzo Kana-Biyik
VAR: Penalty confirmed
79′
🔁 A. Ajdini
↦ G. Diakite
80′
F. Mollet 2–1
O. Janneh
Z. Brault-Guillard 🔁
↦ M. Zanotti
81′
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
81′
E. Alioski 🔁
↦ Y. Cimignani
86′
Ezgjan Alioski 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Brandon Soppy
Anto Grgić 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-1-2
1 A. Saipi G
6 A. Papadopoulos D
4 D. Kelvin D
17 L. Mai D
46 M. Zanotti M
8 A. Grgic M
25 U. Bislimi M
21 Y. Cimignani M
27 D. Dos Santos F
11 R. Steffen F
9 G. Koutsias F
Bench (9)
16 D. von Ballmoos
7 E. Alioski
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
18 H. Mahou
29 M. Belhadj
24 E. Pihlstrom
10 M. Bottani
14 A. Kendouci
44 Joao Carbone

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
6 T. Bergvall D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
18 M. Poaty D
2 B. Soppy M
8 J. Roche M
91 F. Mollet M
27 B. Lekoueiry M
70 G. Diakite F
17 S. Traore F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji
7 A. Ajdini
78 O. Janneh
93 S. Fofana
80 S. Kone
54 R. Lippo
22 E. Kana-Biyik
10 O. Custodio

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.