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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Arys

Motor Lublin

S U U T T

0–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 39%

30%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

47%

70%

Both score Ø 65%

63%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,71 xG 1,71

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 24

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 13. · Lech Poznan 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	30	14	10	6	+14	+25.7	52
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	+9	-3.7	49
3	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	+11	-4.9	46
4	Rakow	30	13	7	10	+6	+8.7	46
5	Wisla Plock	30	12	9	9	+4	-0.9	45
6	Zaglebie	30	12	8	10	+7	-7.3	44
7	GKS Katowice	30	13	5	12	+2	-5.6	44
8	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	+3	+5.2	43
9	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	+3	+1.0	40
10	Piast Gliwice	31	11	7	13	-1	-0.9	40
11	Legia	31	9	13	9	-1	+3.4	40
12	Korona Kielce	31	10	9	12	+1	-4.3	39
13	Motor Lublin	30	9	12	9	-6	-8.9	39
14	Cracovia	30	9	11	10	-3	+1.9	38
15	Pogon Szczecin	30	11	5	14	-5	+4.1	38
16	Widzew Lodz	31	10	6	15	-2	+3.2	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	-23	-7.4	34
18	Nieciecza	30	7	7	16	-19	-9.1	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	15	10	1	4	+15	+3.5	31
2	GKS Katowice	15	9	2	4	+7	-0.4	29
3	Arka Gdynia	15	8	5	2	+4	-1.0	29
4	Radomiak Radom	15	8	4	3	+15	+10.3	28
5	Lechia Gdansk	16	8	4	4	+12	+6.1	28
6	Legia	16	7	6	3	+7	+5.9	27
7	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+5	+2.0	27
8	Zaglebie	15	7	5	3	+12	+0.9	26
9	Lech Poznan	15	7	5	3	+10	+15.6	26
10	Pogon Szczecin	15	8	2	5	+6	+6.0	26
11	Widzew Lodz	15	7	4	4	+5	+4.7	25
12	Jagiellonia	15	7	3	5	+8	+2.9	24
13	Korona Kielce	16	6	5	5	+5	+3.4	23
14	Motor Lublin	15	5	8	2	+4	+1.0	23
15	Rakow	14	6	4	4	+5	+4.8	22
16	Cracovia	15	5	7	3	+4	+6.3	22
17	Piast Gliwice	15	6	3	6	+2	+3.3	21
18	Nieciecza	15	3	4	8	-10	-3.6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	15	7	5	3	+4	+10.1	26
2	Rakow	16	7	3	6	+1	+3.9	24
3	Jagiellonia	15	5	7	3	+3	-7.8	22
4	Piast Gliwice	16	5	4	7	-3	-4.2	19
5	Wisla Plock	15	4	6	5	-1	-3.0	18
6	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-5	-8.2	18
7	Gornik Zabrze	15	4	6	5	-6	-7.2	18
8	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-4	-7.7	16
9	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-7	-4.4	16
10	Motor Lublin	15	4	4	7	-10	-9.9	16
11	GKS Katowice	15	4	3	8	-5	-5.2	15
12	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	3	7	-9	-1.0	15
13	Nieciecza	15	4	3	8	-9	-5.5	15
14	Legia	15	2	7	6	-8	-2.5	13
15	Pogon Szczecin	15	3	3	9	-11	-1.9	12
16	Radomiak Radom	15	2	6	7	-12	-9.3	12
17	Widzew Lodz	16	3	2	11	-7	-1.5	11
18	Arka Gdynia	15	1	2	12	-27	-6.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.