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Bundesliga

Referee: A Untergasser

Grazer AK

S T U T T

4–0

Full-time

Tirol

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 29%

24%

34%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

55%

52%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,65 xG 0,54

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grazer AK 11. · Tirol 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	29	14	7	8	+12	+8.1	49
2	LASK	29	14	7	8	+8	+11.8	49
3	Salzburg	29	13	8	8	+18	+9.9	47
4	SK Rapid	29	12	8	9	+1	-0.6	44
5	Austria Vienna	29	12	5	12	-5	-0.3	41
6	Hartberg	29	9	12	8	+1	-13.1	39
7	Ried	29	11	6	12	-3	+0.1	39
8	Tirol	29	10	9	10	-6	+1.7	39
9	Altach	29	9	11	9	-2	-6.4	38
10	Wolfsberger AC	29	8	8	13	-7	-14.4	32
11	Grazer AK	29	7	9	13	-10	-2.1	30
12	BW Linz	29	8	4	17	-7	+5.4	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	14	7	6	1	+7	+1.0	27
2	LASK	14	8	3	3	+6	+9.1	27
3	Tirol	15	7	4	4	+3	+3.2	25
4	Ried	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.8	24
5	SK Rapid	15	7	2	6	+1	-0.8	23
6	BW Linz	15	7	1	7	+8	+7.3	22
7	Salzburg	14	6	3	5	+8	+5.1	21
8	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	6	4	+3	-3.5	21
9	Grazer AK	14	5	6	3	+2	+1.7	21
10	Sturm Graz	15	5	5	5	-2	+3.9	20
11	Austria Vienna	14	5	3	6	-6	+0.8	18
12	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	-4	-4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	14	9	2	3	+14	+4.3	29
2	Salzburg	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
3	Austria Vienna	15	7	2	6	+1	-1.1	23
4	Hartberg	14	5	7	2	+5	-8.4	22
5	LASK	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.7	22
6	SK Rapid	14	5	6	3	+0	+0.2	21
7	Ried	15	4	3	8	-5	-2.7	15
8	Tirol	14	3	5	6	-9	-1.5	14
9	Altach	15	2	5	8	-9	-7.4	11
10	Wolfsberger AC	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.9	11
11	Grazer AK	15	2	3	10	-12	-3.9	9
12	BW Linz	14	1	3	10	-15	-1.9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.