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Super League
Referee: L Berchier
Vaduz
T T T U T
5–2
Full-time
Grasshoppers
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vaduz Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
3,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,31 xG 2,99
53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vaduz 12. · Grasshoppers 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 4 4 0 0 +10 +1.6 12
2 Young Boys 5 3 2 0 +10 +4.8 11
3 Basel 5 3 1 1 +3 +1.7 10
4 St. Gallen 3 2 1 0 +2 +2.6 7
5 Sion 4 2 0 2 +1 +3.1 6
6 Zurich 5 2 0 3 -5 -1.9 6
7 Lausanne 5 1 2 2 -1 -1.5 5
8 Luzern 5 1 2 2 -4 -3.1 5
9 Servette 4 1 1 2 -1 +1.0 4
10 Thun 3 1 0 2 -6 -4.1 3
11 Grasshoppers 3 0 1 2 -4 -1.4 1
12 Vaduz 4 0 0 4 -5 -2.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.