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Ligue 1

Referee: Willy Delajod

Monaco

T T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Marseille

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,72 xG 1,40

36% Possession 64%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 8. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.0	4
2	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
4	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
5	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.7	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
9	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.8	3
11	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.9	2
12	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
13	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
14	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
15	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.2	1
17	Nice	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
3	Lens	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
5	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
6	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
7	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
9	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
12	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
16	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-2	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
4	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
9	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Le Mans	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
14	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
15	Nice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.