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Taça de Portugal

Machico

T S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Camacha

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Machico Camacha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
15	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
6	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
7	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
8	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.