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Bundesliga

Referee: Arnes Talic

Hartberg

S T T T S

3–2

Full-time

Ried

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,67 xG 1,66

41% Possession 59%

14 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 12. · Ried 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	4	4	0	0	+11	+8.6	12
2	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+10	+5.0	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.0	8
4	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+4	+6.5	7
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	2	1	+2	-4.1	5
6	A. Lustenau	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
7	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.7	4
8	Ried	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.4	4
9	Grazer AK	5	1	1	3	-11	-3.3	4
10	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	-5.2	3
11	Altach	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.6	3
12	Hartberg	4	1	0	3	-4	-5.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.4	9
2	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+9	+4.7	6
3	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.4	4
4	Grazer AK	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.9	4
5	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
6	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.2	4
7	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.5	3
8	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
9	Ried	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.2	1
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.2	0
12	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.2	4
2	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
3	Tirol	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.5	3
4	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.2	3
5	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.9	3
7	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
8	A. Lustenau	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
9	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.8	1
10	Ried	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.3	1
11	Altach	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.1	0
12	Grazer AK	3	0	0	3	-12	-6.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.