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Bundesliga

Referee: Walter Altmann

Salzburg

U U S S S

4–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,71 xG 0,76

70% Possession 30%

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 4. · Austria Vienna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	4	4	0	0	+12	+6.6	12
2	LASK	4	4	0	0	+11	+8.6	12
3	Sturm Graz	5	2	2	1	+1	+2.4	8
4	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+4	+6.5	7
5	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	-4.3	6
6	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	2	1	+2	-4.1	5
7	A. Lustenau	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
8	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.7	4
9	Ried	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.6	4
10	Grazer AK	5	1	1	3	-11	-3.3	4
11	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	-5.2	3
12	Altach	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+11	+6.3	9
2	LASK	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.4	9
3	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.4	4
4	Grazer AK	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.9	4
5	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
6	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.2	4
7	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.5	3
8	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
9	Ried	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Hartberg	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
11	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.2	1
12	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.2	4
2	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.1	4
3	Tirol	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.5	3
4	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.2	3
5	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.9	3
7	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
8	A. Lustenau	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
9	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.8	1
10	Ried	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.8	1
11	Altach	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.1	0
12	Grazer AK	3	0	0	3	-12	-6.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.