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Eredivisie
Referee: Robin Hensgens
Feyenoord
U S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Den Haag
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,47 xG 0,24
69% Possession 31%
33 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
11 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 +10 +7.5 12
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +10 +9.1 10
3 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 +4 +5.6 7
4 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 1 1 +2 -1.2 7
5 For Sittard 4 2 1 1 +1 -6.5 7
6 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 +4 +2.0 6
7 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +4 +1.2 6
8 Groningen 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.1 6
9 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.6 4
10 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 +0 -1.9 4
11 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 -1 -2.7 4
12 Twente 2 1 0 1 +1 +2.8 3
13 Telstar 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.6 3
14 Zwolle 4 1 0 3 -4 -1.6 3
15 Utrecht 4 0 1 3 -9 -3.0 1
16 Willem II 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.5 0
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -7 -3.9 0
18 Cambuur 3 0 0 3 -9 -3.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Den Haag
12′
N. Thomas 0–1
E. Rottier
Half-time 0–1
S. Steijn 🔁
↦ G. Diarra
46′
53′
S. Sylla 0–2
N. Thomas
57′
🟨 Pascal Mulder
62′
🔁 I. de Ruijter
↦ N. Thomas
62′
🔁 J. Hawkins
↦ D. van Mieghem
1–2 A. Ueda
O. Targhalline
62′
S. van Persie 🔁
↦ O. Targhalline
65′
67′
🟨 Mylian Jimenez
68′
🔁 J. Zamburek
↦ M. Jimenez
68′
🔁 J. Bal
↦ Y. Eduardo
2–2 A. Hadj Moussa
S. Steijn
72′
T. Kraaijeveld 🔁
↦ J. Lopez
80′
Nacho 🔁
↦ A. Ueda
80′
80′
🔁 M. Waem
↦ S. Sylla
87′
🟨 Evan Rottier
C. Vanhoutte 🔁
↦ L. Valente
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 T. Ernst G
26 G. Read D
4 T. Watanabe D
35 M. Marmol D
16 J. Lopez D
8 G. Zechiel M
28 O. Targhalline M
10 L. Valente M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
9 A. Ueda F
27 G. Diarra F
Bench (12)
39 L. Bossin
37 M. Berger
20 M. Deijl
30 J. Lotomba
24 T. Kraaijeveld
34 C. Vanhoutte
14 S. Steijn
22 T. van den Elshout
11 G. Borges
19 Nacho
36 J. Zinhagel
49 S. van Persie

Coach: Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Den Haag

4-2-3-1
1 K. Nikiema G
2 O. Raterink D
3 P. Mulder D
15 M. Hokke D
18 S. Sylla D
25 J. Kilo M
14 M. Jimenez M
7 D. van Mieghem M
11 E. Rottier M
27 N. Thomas M
46 Y. Eduardo F
Bench (12)
23 N. Thiede
12 S. Eekhout
5 J. Jensen-Abbew
4 M. Waem
22 L. Wilhelm
35 S. Bergtop
10 I. de Ruijter
8 J. Zamburek
16 F. de Bruin
17 J. Hawkins
19 L. Reischl
9 J. Bal

Coach: Robin Peter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,15
U ✓
7,80
B
13,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,27
U2,5
3,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.