Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Den Haag
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | +7.5 | 12 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | +9.1 | 10 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +5.6 | 7 |
| 4 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | -1.2 | 7 |
| 5 |
For Sittard
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | -6.5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | +2.0 | 6 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | +1.2 | 6 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -1.1 | 6 |
| 9 |
Ajax
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +1.6 | 4 |
| 10 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +0 | -1.9 | 4 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.7 | 4 |
| 12 |
Twente
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +2.8 | 3 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.6 | 3 |
| 14 |
Zwolle
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | -1.6 | 3 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | -3.0 | 1 |
| 16 |
Willem II
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | -2.5 | 0 |
| 17 |
Den Haag
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | -3.9 | 0 |
| 18 |
Cambuur
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | -3.7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Ernst
G
G. Read
D
T. Watanabe
D
M. Marmol
D
J. Lopez
D
G. Zechiel
M
O. Targhalline
M
L. Valente
M
A. Hadj Moussa
F
A. Ueda
F
G. Diarra
F
Coach: Giovanni van Bronckhorst
K. Nikiema
G
O. Raterink
D
P. Mulder
D
M. Hokke
D
S. Sylla
D
J. Kilo
M
M. Jimenez
M
D. van Mieghem
M
E. Rottier
M
N. Thomas
M
Y. Eduardo
F
Coach: Robin Peter
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cambuur
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
Zwolle
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.