Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aberdeen
Rangers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +9.2 | 9 |
| 2 |
Hearts
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | +0.8 | 6 |
| 3 |
Dundee
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | -0.1 | 6 |
| 4 |
St Mirren
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +1.2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Motherwell
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +0.7 | 4 |
| 6 |
Dundee United
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +0.6 | 4 |
| 7 |
Hibernian
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.6 | 3 |
| 8 |
ST Johnstone
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aberdeen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Rangers
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -3.7 | 1 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | -8.4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Muller
G
C. Cadden
D
L. Mayo
D
D. Happe
D
N. Guinness-Walker
D
C. Ronan
M
A. Aremu
M
M. Ntelo
M
T. Olusanya
M
T. Yogane
M
K. Nisbet
F
Coach: Stephen Robinson
I. Pandur
G
D. Sterling
D
E. Fernandez
D
O. Makhanya
D
J. Penrice
D
C. Devlin
M
D. Neil
M
F. Curtis
M
M. Kim
M
D. Gassama
M
L. Shankland
F
Coach: Derek McInnes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Dundee
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Hearts
Dundee
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
St Mirren
Aberdeen
Dundee United
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.