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Premiership
Referee: Matthew MacDermid
Aberdeen
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Rangers
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,45 xG 1,84
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 15
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 9. · Rangers 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +6 +9.2 9
2 Hearts 3 2 0 1 +4 +0.8 6
3 Dundee 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.1 6
4 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.2 6
5 Motherwell 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
6 Dundee United 4 1 1 2 -2 +0.6 4
7 Hibernian 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.6 3
8 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.3 3
9 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.2 3
10 Rangers 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.1 1
11 Falkirk 3 0 1 2 -3 -3.7 1
12 Kilmarnock 3 0 0 3 -9 -8.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Rangers
Daniel Happe 🟨
4′
Chris Cadden 🟨
36′
37′
🟨 Findlay Curtis
Connor Ronan 🟨
43′
Aremu Afeez 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ T. Yogane
46′
49′
🟨 Cameron Devlin
Toyosi Olusanya 🟨
55′
L. Smith 🔁
↦ M. Ntelo
63′
65′
🟨 Dujon Sterling
69′
L. Shankland 0–1
72′
🔁 K. Nedeljkovic
↦ J. Penrice
72′
🔁 D. Yokota
↦ M. Kim
A. Mouloua 🔁
↦ C. Ronan
75′
Lewis Mayo 🟨
77′
Kevin Nisbet ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
86′
🔁 B. Godfrey
↦ F. Curtis
86′
🔁 R. Naderi
↦ L. Shankland
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
27 M. Muller G
28 C. Cadden D
23 L. Mayo D
26 D. Happe D
24 N. Guinness-Walker D
25 C. Ronan M
32 A. Aremu M
31 M. Ntelo M
20 T. Olusanya M
7 T. Yogane M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
13 N. Suman
5 M. Knoester
22 J. Milne
17 S. Armstrong
11 L. Smith
21 G. Molloy
10 A. Briedl
9 A. Mouloua
53 A. Fasanya

Coach: Stephen Robinson

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 I. Pandur G
21 D. Sterling D
37 E. Fernandez D
24 O. Makhanya D
29 J. Penrice D
14 C. Devlin M
6 D. Neil M
52 F. Curtis M
10 M. Kim M
23 D. Gassama M
7 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
4 B. Godfrey
18 K. Nedeljkovic
11 T. Aasgaard
22 V. Dragojevic
8 C. Barron
42 T. Chukwuani
20 R. Naderi
17 D. Yokota

Coach: Derek McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,07
U
3,81
B ✓
1,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.