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Serie B
Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena
Pisa
T T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Catanzaro
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,04 xG 1,11
45% Possession 55%
19 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 18. · Catanzaro 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Modena 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.7 6
2 Mantova 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.1 6
3 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.0 6
4 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.9 4
5 Cesena 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.3 4
6 Padova 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.1 4
7 Avellino 2 1 0 1 +2 -0.6 3
8 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
9 Arezzo 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.0 3
10 Juve Stabia 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.7 3
11 Empoli 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.6 3
12 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.2 3
13 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.0 1
14 Verona 2 0 1 1 -1 +2.5 1
15 Carrarese 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.2 1
16 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
17 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
18 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
19 Virtus Entella 2 0 0 2 -2 -0.2 0
20 Cremonese 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Catanzaro
9′
🔁 Mehdi Dorval
↦ Marco D'Alessandro
22′
Pietro Lemmello 0–1
Antonio Candela
1–1 Simone Canestrelli
Matteo Tramoni
28′
2–1 Giuseppe Leone
Omar Correia
30′
Simone Zanon 🟨
39′
45′
🔁 Franky Tchaouna
↦ Antonio Candela
Half-time 2–1
Daniel Denoon 🔁
↦ Simone Zanon
65′
Gabriele Piccinini 🔁
↦ Mehdi Léris
65′
68′
🔁 Ruggero Frosinini
↦ Marco Ruggero
71′
ℹ️ Nicola Mosti
VAR: Goal cancelled
Antonio Caracciolo 🔁
↦ Rosen Bozhinov
72′
Isak Vural 🔁
↦ Giuseppe Leone
79′
Emanuele Rao 🔁
↦ Matteo Tramoni
79′
79′
🔁 Federico Di Francesco
↦ Nicola Mosti
79′
🔁 Emanuele Pecorino
↦ Gabriele Alesi
Arturo Calabresi 🟨
80′
Isak Vural 🟨
84′
87′
🟨 Jacopo Petriccione
93′
🟨 Matias Antonini Lui
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
98 A. Confente G
33 A. Calabresi D
5 S. Canestrelli D
2 R. Bozhinov D
72 S. Zanon M
55 G. Leone M
29 O. Correia M
3 S. Angori M
7 M. Leris F
10 M. Tramoni F
37 A. Petagna F
Bench (12)
22 L. Loria
26 F. Coppola
19 T. Esteves
44 D. Denoon
13 A. Primasso
4 A. Caracciolo
21 I. Vural
14 F. Loyola
18 N. Bonfanti
17 E. Rao
11 I. Ferrah
36 G. Piccinini

Coach: Paolo Bianco

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
24 M. Ruggero D
4 Matias Antonini D
26 B. Verrengia D
27 A. Candela M
10 J. Petriccione M
98 N. Mosti M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
30 G. Alesi F
9 P. Iemmello F
19 N. Koffi F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
3 M. Imperiale
6 N. Postiglione
93 M. Dorval
14 S. Giovane
62 R. Frosinini
18 A. Garnica
29 F. Di Francesco
7 N. Buso
31 E. Pecorino
91 G. Arditi
28 F. Tchaouna

Coach: Giorgio Gorgone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,23
B
4,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alberto Ruben Arena · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.