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Bundesliga

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

Hertha

S T U S U

0–0

Full-time

Mainz

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 18%

27%

Points per game

1,1

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

64%

73%

Both score Ø 73%

73%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

11 Shots 5

0 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 11. · Mainz 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	11	7	4	0	+13	25
2	Bayern Munich	11	7	3	1	+18	24
3	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Wolfsburg	11	5	6	0	+7	21
5	Dortmund	11	6	1	4	+8	19
6	M'gladbach	12	4	6	2	+3	18
7	Union Berlin	11	4	5	2	+8	17
8	Stuttgart	11	4	5	2	+7	17
9	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	8	2	-3	14
10	Augsburg	11	3	4	4	-3	13
11	Hertha	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Hoffenheim	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Werder Bremen	11	2	5	4	-5	11
14	Freiburg	11	2	5	4	-8	11
15	FC Koln	11	2	4	5	-4	10
16	Bielefeld	11	2	1	8	-14	7
17	Mainz	11	1	2	8	-13	5
18	Schalke 04	11	0	4	7	-25	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Wolfsburg	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+14	11
4	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	M'gladbach	6	2	4	0	+4	10
6	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+7	9
7	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+4	9
8	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	5	0	+1	8
9	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Freiburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	FC Koln	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-6	2
18	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Leverkusen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+4	8
6	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+2	7
10	RB Leipzig	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Werder Bremen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-4	6
13	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Freiburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
16	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-18	2
18	Bielefeld	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.