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Pro League
Referee: W Alen
Cercle Brugge
T T T T T
3–4
Full-time
Charleroi
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
39%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

10 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 9
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 12. · Charleroi 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 10 5 4 +9 35
2 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
3 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
4 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
5 Charleroi 18 8 4 6 +5 28
6 Antwerp 14 7 5 2 +8 26
7 Anderlecht 15 5 9 1 +9 24
8 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
9 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
10 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -2 23
11 Waregem 17 6 3 8 -5 21
12 Cercle Brugge 18 7 0 11 -5 21
13 Oostende 15 5 4 6 +2 19
14 Gent 15 6 1 8 +1 19
15 Waasland-Beveren 16 5 3 8 -8 18
16 Beveren 16 5 3 8 -8 18
17 Mechelen 15 4 4 7 -5 16
18 Mouscron 17 3 5 9 -14 14
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -14 13
20 St Truiden 18 2 6 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Charleroi
1–0 I. Ugbo
J. Taravel
17′
22′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ K. Nkuba
2–0 I. Ugbo
K. Hazard
25′
Leonardo da Silva Lopes 🟨
31′
Alexander Corryn 🟨
41′
42′
🟨 Ali Gholizadeh
Leonardo da Silva Lopes 🟨
43′
Leonardo da Silva Lopes 🟥
43′
C. Vanhoutte 🔁
↦ K. Hazard
45′
Half-time 2–0
N. Ueda 🔁
↦ J. Taravel
50′
63′
A. Gholizadeh 2–1
64′
S. Nicholson 2–2
J. Kayembe
70′
R. Morioka 2–3
J. Kayembe
79′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ A. Gholizadeh
T. Somers 🔁
↦ D. Velkovski
81′
3–3 A. Musaba
85′
87′
M. Bruno 3–4
R. Morioka
90′
🟨 Amine Benchaib
90′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ S. Nicholson
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
1 T. Didillon G
4 J. Taravel D
25 A. Corryn D
19 D. Velkovski D
24 J. Marcelin D
2 Vitinho D
20 K. Hoggas M
42 Leonardo Lopes M
7 K. Hazard F
9 I. Ugbo F
11 A. Musaba F
Bench (7)
14 C. Vanhoutte
5 N. Ueda
34 T. Somers
23 O. Deman
26 C. Dekuyper
17 S. Raux-Yao
21 Warleson

Coach: P. Clement

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 J. Van Cleemput D
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
28 K. Nkuba F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
34 A. Benchaib
77 M. Bruno
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa
22 G. Hendrickx
5 M. Diagne
1 N. Penneteau

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,24
U
3,52
B ✓
2,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.