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Championship

Referee: D Webb

Bristol City

T S T S T

0–2

Full-time

Millwall

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Millwall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Championship · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

50%

22%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

39%

28%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,1

1,7

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

3 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 8. · Millwall 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	18	11	4	3	+8	37
2	Bournemouth	18	9	7	2	+18	34
3	Watford	18	9	6	3	+10	33
4	Reading	18	10	3	5	+7	33
5	Swansea	17	9	5	3	+11	32
6	Brentford	17	8	6	3	+11	30
7	Stoke	19	8	6	5	+4	30
8	Bristol City	18	9	3	6	+2	30
9	Middlesbrough	18	7	6	5	+5	27
10	Cardiff	18	7	5	6	+7	26
11	Luton	18	7	5	6	-3	26
12	Blackburn	18	7	4	7	+10	25
13	Barnsley	18	7	4	7	-2	25
14	Huddersfield	18	7	3	8	-5	24
15	Preston	18	7	2	9	-3	23
16	Birmingham	18	5	7	6	-2	22
17	Millwall	18	4	9	5	-3	21
18	Coventry	18	5	6	7	-7	21
19	QPR	19	4	7	8	-8	19
20	Rotherham	18	4	4	10	-8	16
21	Sheffield Weds	18	3	6	9	-9	15
22	Nott'm Forest	18	3	4	11	-13	13
23	Derby	18	2	7	9	-14	13
24	Wycombe	18	2	5	11	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	9	7	1	1	+10	22
2	Bournemouth	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Middlesbrough	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Swansea	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Reading	9	6	0	3	+4	18
6	Norwich	9	5	3	1	+4	18
7	Huddersfield	9	5	1	3	+4	16
8	Luton	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Coventry	9	4	3	2	-1	15
10	Blackburn	9	4	2	3	+5	14
11	Barnsley	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	+1	14
13	Stoke	9	4	2	3	+0	14
14	Brentford	8	3	4	1	+4	13
15	QPR	10	3	4	3	+0	13
16	Cardiff	9	3	2	4	+4	11
17	Rotherham	9	3	2	4	+1	11
18	Millwall	9	1	6	2	-2	9
19	Nott'm Forest	9	2	3	4	-3	9
20	Sheffield Weds	9	1	5	3	-2	8
21	Birmingham	9	2	2	5	-4	8
22	Preston	9	2	1	6	-5	7
23	Wycombe	9	1	3	5	-5	6
24	Derby	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	9	6	1	2	+4	19
2	Brentford	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Stoke	10	4	4	2	+4	16
4	Preston	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Bristol City	9	5	1	3	+1	16
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Cardiff	9	4	3	2	+3	15
8	Bournemouth	9	3	5	1	+7	14
9	Swansea	8	4	2	2	+4	14
10	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	+2	14
11	Millwall	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Blackburn	9	3	2	4	+5	11
13	Watford	9	2	5	2	+0	11
14	Barnsley	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Luton	9	3	2	4	-6	11
16	Derby	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Huddersfield	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Middlesbrough	9	1	4	4	-5	7
19	Sheffield Weds	9	2	1	6	-7	7
20	Coventry	9	1	3	5	-6	6
21	QPR	9	1	3	5	-8	6
22	Rotherham	9	1	2	6	-9	5
23	Wycombe	9	1	2	6	-11	5
24	Nott'm Forest	9	1	1	7	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.