Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Real Madrid

T U T S S

3–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Real Madrid Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

58%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 46%

50%

42%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

18 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

5 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Ath Bilbao 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	13	7	5	1	+17	26
2	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+17	26
3	Real Madrid	12	7	2	3	+7	23
4	Villarreal	13	5	7	1	+4	22
5	Sevilla	11	6	1	4	+4	19
6	Granada	12	5	3	4	-5	18
7	Cadiz	13	5	3	5	-6	18
8	Barcelona	11	5	2	4	+10	17
9	Celta	13	4	4	5	-3	16
10	Betis	13	5	1	7	-9	16
11	Eibar	13	3	6	4	-1	15
12	Valencia	13	3	5	5	+0	14
13	Ath Bilbao	12	4	2	6	+0	14
14	Elche	11	3	5	3	-2	14
15	Alaves	13	3	5	5	-3	14
16	Getafe	12	3	4	5	-5	13
17	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	-6	13
18	Levante	12	2	5	5	-3	11
19	Huesca	13	1	8	4	-8	11
20	Osasuna	12	3	2	7	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Villarreal	7	4	3	0	+6	15
3	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+10	13
4	Sociedad	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	Granada	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Real Madrid	5	3	0	2	+4	9
9	Valencia	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+2	9
11	Celta	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Betis	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Alaves	7	1	4	2	-2	7
15	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Levante	5	1	3	1	+1	6
17	Huesca	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Elche	6	1	3	2	-3	6
19	Cadiz	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Eibar	7	0	4	3	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Cadiz	7	4	1	2	-2	13
4	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Betis	7	3	0	4	-7	9
8	Elche	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Celta	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Villarreal	6	1	4	1	-2	7
12	Granada	6	2	1	3	-7	7
13	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Levante	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Ath Bilbao	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Huesca	7	0	5	2	-6	5
17	Barcelona	5	1	1	3	+0	4
18	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Osasuna	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Getafe	5	0	3	2	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.