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Bundesliga

Referee: G Winkmann

Mainz

S U T T U

0–1

Full-time

Werder Bremen

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 13%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

42%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 17. · Werder Bremen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	12	8	4	0	+17	28
2	Bayern Munich	12	8	3	1	+19	27
3	RB Leipzig	12	8	3	1	+15	27
4	Dortmund	13	7	1	5	+8	22
5	Union Berlin	13	5	6	2	+9	21
6	Wolfsburg	12	5	6	1	+6	21
7	Stuttgart	12	4	6	2	+7	18
8	M'gladbach	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Augsburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	8	2	-3	14
11	Freiburg	12	3	5	4	-6	14
12	Hertha	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Hoffenheim	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Werder Bremen	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	FC Koln	12	2	4	6	-8	10
16	Bielefeld	12	2	1	9	-15	7
17	Mainz	12	1	3	8	-13	6
18	Schalke 04	12	0	4	8	-27	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+15	14
3	Wolfsburg	6	4	2	0	+5	14
4	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+8	12
5	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	M'gladbach	6	2	4	0	+4	10
7	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+4	9
8	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	5	0	+1	8
9	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Freiburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Bielefeld	6	2	0	4	-5	6
13	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hertha	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Stuttgart	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	FC Koln	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Stuttgart	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	RB Leipzig	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+4	8
8	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	-4	8
12	Wolfsburg	6	1	4	1	+1	7
13	Werder Bremen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-18	2
18	Bielefeld	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.