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Bundesliga

Referee: G Winkmann

Bielefeld

S T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Hertha

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

21%

29%

Points per game

0,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

43%

64%

Both score Ø 54%

43%

64%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

0,6

1,6

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bielefeld 16. · Hertha 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	10	3	2	+22	33
2	RB Leipzig	15	9	4	2	+14	31
3	Leverkusen	15	8	5	2	+15	29
4	Dortmund	15	9	1	5	+12	28
5	Union Berlin	15	6	7	2	+11	25
6	Wolfsburg	15	6	7	2	+5	25
7	M'gladbach	15	6	6	3	+4	24
8	Freiburg	15	6	5	4	+4	23
9	Ein Frankfurt	15	5	8	2	+2	23
10	Stuttgart	15	5	6	4	+8	21
11	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-6	19
12	Hertha	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Werder Bremen	15	3	6	6	-7	15
14	Hoffenheim	15	4	3	8	-8	15
15	FC Koln	15	2	5	8	-14	11
16	Bielefeld	14	3	1	10	-15	10
17	Schalke 04	15	1	4	10	-27	7
18	Mainz	15	1	3	11	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	6	1	1	+11	19
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	Wolfsburg	7	5	2	0	+6	17
4	Union Berlin	8	3	4	1	+8	13
5	M'gladbach	8	3	4	1	+4	13
6	Freiburg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
7	Dortmund	7	4	0	3	+6	12
8	Leverkusen	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	5	0	+2	11
10	Hertha	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Augsburg	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Hoffenheim	7	2	1	4	-1	7
13	Bielefeld	7	2	0	5	-6	6
14	Schalke 04	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Stuttgart	7	0	4	3	-4	4
17	Mainz	8	0	2	6	-9	2
18	FC Koln	8	0	2	6	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	8	5	2	1	+12	17
2	Leverkusen	8	5	2	1	+10	17
3	Dortmund	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+4	16
5	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	RB Leipzig	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
11	Werder Bremen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
12	FC Koln	7	2	3	2	-4	9
13	Hertha	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Wolfsburg	8	1	5	2	-1	8
15	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Bielefeld	7	1	1	5	-9	4
17	Mainz	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.